5 Games – Tonight’s NBA Picks
*Original NBA betting tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your plays accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
CASH STAT
MIAMI @ GOLDEN STATE
- Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
BEST BET – UNDER 225.0
TONIGHT’S NBA TIPS
PORTLAND @ DALLAS
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Portland | 33 | 21 | 23-8 | 10-13 |
| Dallas | 25 | 29 | 19-8 | 6-21 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Portland | 113.3 | 110.3 | +3.0 |
| Dallas | 109.1 | 108.6 | +0.5 |
H2H Trends –
- Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Dallas.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Trail Blazers are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Traiblazers Trends
- Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Trail Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Trail Blazers last 6 games overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 6-0 in Trail Blazers last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their previous game.
MavericksTrends
- Mavericks are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Mavericks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 16-5 in Mavericks last 21 games overall.
- Over is 11-4 in Mavericks last 15 vs teams above .500.
Season Series
| 24.12.18 | Portland | Dallas | 121 : 118 (107 : 107) |
| 05.12.18 | Dallas | Portland | 111 : 102 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Portland | Under | Dallas |
| -2.5 | 219.5 | 102-101 |
- Portland will try to take advantage of the suspect interior defense when they visit the Mavericks tonight who gave up 80 points in a 122-107 loss to the Bucks last out.
- Portland scored 62 points in the paint in a 127-118 win over the Spurs on Thursday and shot 53.8% from the floor to improve to 23-8 at home.
- Portland added depth at the trade deadline by acquiring SG Rodney Hood from Cleveland.
- Blazers, who are 10-13 on the road, play their next 2 away before heading into the All-Star break with a home court schedule against the Warriors.
- Doncic had X-Rays on his left hand that were negative and he is listed as questionable for this contest.
Best Bet = Portland -2.5
LA LAKERS @ PHILADELPHIA
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| L.A. Lakers | 28 | 27 | 16-12 | 12-15 |
| Philadelphia | 35 | 20 | 22-6 | 13-14 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| L.A. Lakers | 112.1 | 112.8 | -0.7 |
| Philadelphia | 115.4 | 112.1 | +3.3 |
H2H Trends –
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
Lakers Trends
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Lakers last 7 games after scoring 125+ points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 11-5-1 in Lakers last 17 games vs teams above .600.
76ers Trends
- 76ers are 27-11 ATS in their last 38 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in 76ers last 7 vs teams above .500.
Season Series
| 30.01.19 | LA Lakers | Philadelphia | 105 : 121 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Philadelphia | Over | Philadelphia |
| -7.0 | 229.5 | 143-120 |
- Lakers offered every young player on their roster in an effort to get Anthony Davis before the deadline but could not get it done, leaving us to wonder about the impact that may have on a team fighting for a playoff spot.
- 76ers made grounds at the deadline, pulling in Tobias Harris from the Clippers and strengthening depth with veteran wings James Ennis and Jonathon Simmons.
- Lakers are sitting in 10th spot in the West with 27 games left and Lebron’s expectations are right on the youngsters.
Best Bet = Over 229.5
PHOENIX @ SACRAMENTO
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Phoenix | 11 | 46 | 7-22 | 4-24 |
| Sacramento | 29 | 26 | 18-11 | 11-15 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Phoenix | 105.9 | 115.8 | -9.9 |
| Sacramento | 113.3 | 114.7 | -1.4 |
H2H Trends –
- Suns are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento.
Suns Trends
- Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 vs teams above .500.
Kings Trends
- Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs teams below .400.
- Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- Kings are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Kings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Kings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs teams below .500.
- Under is 13-2-1 in Kings last 16 games overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Kings last 9 home games.
- Under is 10-3 in Kings last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
Season Series
| 09.01.19 | Phoenix | Sacramento | 115 : 111 |
| 05.12.18 | Phoenix | Sacramento | 105 : 122 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Sacramento | Over | Sacramento |
| -8.0 | 227.5 | 117-104 |
- Kings dominate this matchup statistically
- The Suns rank second worst in defensive efficiency, so the over is worth a look. The better bet is on the Kings to get over he skinny -8.0 line in style.
Best Bet = Sacramento – 8.0
ORLANDO @ ATLANTA
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Orlando | 23 | 32 | 15-15 | 8-17 |
| Atlanta | 18 | 36 | 8-14 | 10-22 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Orlando | 104.9 | 107.9 | -3.0 |
| Atlanta | 110.7 | 118.2 | -7.5 |
H2H Trends –
- Under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings in Atlanta.
Magic Trends
- Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Magic are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
- Over is 7-1 in Magic last 8 games playing B2B.
- Under is 13-3 in Magic last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Magic last 8 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 9-4 in Magic last 13 games overall.
- Under is 18-8 in Magic last 26 games vs teams below .400.
Hawks Trends
- Hawks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games playing a B2B.
- Under is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 games playing a B2B.
- Over is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 games overall.
Season Series
| 22.01.19 | Atlanta | Orlando | 103 : 122 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Atlanta | Under | Orlando |
| +2.0 | 224.0 | 124-108 |
- Rookie Trae Young had 11 assists on Saturday and has at least 8 in 8 of his last 9 games.
- Both rank poorly in offensively so Unders is the shot of the night.
Best Bet = Under 224.0
MIAMI @ GOLDEN STATE
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Miami | 25 | 28 | 11-16 | 14-12 |
| Golden St. | 39 | 15 | 20-7 | 19-8 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Miami | 105.0 | 105.5 | -0.5 |
| Golden St. | 119.1 | 111.3 | +7.8 |
H2H Trends –
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Heat Trends
- Heat are 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Heat are 36-14-2 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 games overall.
Warriors Trends
- Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Season Series – 1st Meeting
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Miami | Under | Golden State |
| +14.0 | 222.5 | 120-118 |
- Warriors own the best record in the West and have wins in 14 of their last 15.
- Warriors showed off just how many gears they have in a 141-102 win over the Spurs on Wednesday but barely pulled out a 117-107 win at West-worst Suns on Friday. Bets ATS are sketchy, especially getting to the -14.0 line tonight.
- Heat let go of guards Tyler Johnson and Wayne Ellington before Thursday’s deadline, opening a starting spot for shooting guard Dion Waiters and extra playing time for vet D-Wade.
- No idea with this one.
Best Bet = Under 222.5
