4 Games – NBA Picks Against The Spread

NBA PICKS AGAINST THE SPREAD

*Original NBA betting lines and research are done a game day morning, adjust your plays accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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TONIGHT’S NBA PICKS


TORONTO @ ORLANDO

H2H Trends – 

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Orlando.
  • Raptors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Orlando.
  • Raptors are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Toronto 13 4 7-2 6-2
Orlando 9 8 6-5 3-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Toronto 116.8 108.4 +8.4
Orlando 107.5 109.5 -2.0

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Toronto Over Toronto
-6.0 219.0 93-91

Trends

  • Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. teams above .500.
  • Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 home games vs. teams above .500.

The Rub

  • Raptors lead every statistical category in this matchup except turnovers.
  • Raptors will have Kawhi Leonard back tonight on their 3rd game of a 4-game road trip.
  • Kyle Lowry is expected to lineup despite leaving the Bulls game with an ankle injury.
  • Magic are playing well with 3 straight wins and 7 in their past 9.
  • Raptors are the only team in the league to rank in the top 5 in offense and defense.
  • -6.0 is a bit much tonight on the Magics form at home. Toronto moneyline best.

Best Bet  =  Toronto WIN  


LA CLIPPERS @ WASHINGTON

H2H Trends – 

  • Clippers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
L.A. Clippers 11 5 7-1 4-4
Washington 5 11 3-5 2-6

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
L.A. Clippers 117.9 112.8 +5.1
Washington 110.9 116.9 -6.0

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
LA Clippers Over Washington
+1.0 230.0 125-118

Trends

  • Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 overall.
  • Over is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 vs. teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. teams above .500.
  • Wizards are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. teams above .500.

The Rub

  • Clippers lead every statistical category in this matchup.
  • Wizards are having a nightmare season, and some locker room tension is showing, with it reported that John Wall uttered profanities at coach Scott Brooks during a recent practice. Wizards reportedly open to trading Wall or Beal.
  • On the other end of the spectrum, it’s all fun and games in LA, winning 5 straight contests and 7 of their last 8.
  • Dwight Howard (glute soreness) is being listed as questionable.
  • Clippers are not elite defensively at the moment and the Wizards rank 27th in defensive efficiency. The over is worth a look, but the money should be on the Clippers +1.0

Best Bet  =  LA Clippers +1.0


BROOKLYN @ MIAMI

H2H Trends – 

  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
  • Nets are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Brooklyn 7 10 3-4 4-6
Miami 6 10 3-6 3-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Brooklyn 109.9 111.3 -1.4
Miami 109.3 110.6 -1.3

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Brooklyn Over Brooklyn
+3.5 216.5 104-92

Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in Nets last 5 road games vs. teams with losing home records.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. teams with losing road records.
  • Over is 6-1 in Heat’s last 7 games following a loss.

The Rub

  • Miami has dropped five of its last six games to fall to 6-10, just slightly better than their awful 5-11 start 2 seasons back. Frustrations comically showing when Josh Richardson threw his shoe into the crowd after a non-foul call to draw an ejection in a loss last out against the Lakers.
  • Nets have been traffic cones on defense, giving up 120+ points in 3 of the their last 4 games.
  • Dragic had his swollen right knee drained on Monday and will miss at least three more games.
  • Brooklyn in an upset.

Best Bet  = Brooklyn +3.5


PORTLAND @ NEW YORK

H2H Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Portland 11 5 7-2 4-3
New York 4 13 2-5 2-8

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Portland 114.9 107.9 +7.0
New York 107.8 114.7 -6.9

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
New York Under Portland
+7.5 221.0 118-114

Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. teams below .500.
  • Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. teams with winning road records.

The Rub

  • Portland have the edge in every statistical category in this matchup except for bench points.
  • Portland have improved to 1-2 on a six-game road trip after a win over the Wizards.
  • Knicks are on the slide with 5 straight losses, each loss seemingly caused by being blown out in 1 quarter.
  • No faith either way in the 7.5 spread, Unders best.

Best Bet = New York +7.5 & Under 221.0