14 Games – Tonight’s NBA Picks

NBA PICKS TONIGHT

*Original NBA betting lines and research are done a game day morning, adjust your plays accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

NBA PARLAY

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Parlay – 1

Boston @ Atlanta – Over 219.0

Cleveland @ Philadelphia – Philadelphia -13.0  

Charlotte @ Oklahoma City – Over 226.5

Parlay – 2

Charlotte @ Oklahoma City – Oklahoma City WIN

Portland @ Golden State – Golden State WIN

Utah @ LA Lakers – LA Lakers WIN

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TONIGHT’S NBA TIPS


MINNESOTA @ BROOKLYN

H2H Trends – 

  • Timberwolves are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Minnesota 7 11 7-3 0-8
Brooklyn 8 11 3-4 5-7

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Minnesota 109.1 113.4 -4.3
Brooklyn 109.8 110.7 -0.9

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Brooklyn Over Minnesota
+2.0 220.5 112-102

Team Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 overall
  • Over is 5-1 in Nets last 6 home games.

The Rub

  • Minnesota lead all stats aside from free throw % in this matchup.
  • Timberwolves are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 road games, and winless on the road in 8 attempts this season. That’s awful.
  • Both rank in the bottom 3rd in defense so Overs best.
  • The 2 point spread is a roll of the dice.

Best Bet  = Over 220.5  


MEMPHIS @ LA CLIPPERS

H2H Trends – 

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in LA.
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Grizzlies are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Memphis 12 5 7-1 5-4
L.A. Clippers 11 6 7-1 4-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Memphis 103.1 100.2 +2.9
L.A. Clippers 117.9 113.5 +4.4

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
LA Clippers Over LA Clippers
-3.5 214.5 112-107 1OT (98-98)

Team Trends

  • Over is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 vs. teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 home games.

The Rub

  • Grizzlies are one of the surprise packets this season, with the Grit’n’Grind getting things done, placing them 1st in the West.
  • Clippers record at home is worth a punt.
  • Overs best if you must.

Best Bet  = Over 214.5


HOUSTON @ DETROIT

H2H Trends – 

  • Rockets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Detroit.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Houston 9 7 4-4 5-3
Detroit 8 7 4-3 4-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Houston 106.6 106.8 -0.2
Detroit 110.9 111.1 -0.2

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Houston Over Detroit
-4.5 213.5 116-111 1OT (98-98)

Team Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games.

The Rub

  • Rockets looking to stretch their winning streak to 6.
  • This is a tough one, can’t split the 4.5 line. Overs look best.

Best Bet  =  Over 213.5


BOSTON @ ATLANTA

H2H Trends

  • Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 9 9 5-3 4-6
Atlanta 3 15 2-6 1-9

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Boston 106.0 104.2 +1.8
Atlanta 107.4 118.6 -11.2

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Boston Over Boston
-8.0 219.0 114-95

Trends

  • Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. teams below .500.
    Over is 7-0 in Celtics last 7 Friday games.
  • Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games.

The Rub

  • Boston started the season 6-2 and have been sliding since, however have still been able to contain teams.
  • Celtics rank first in the league in defense and should be able to take care of the Hawks and find some needed swagger against the Hawks, who’ve dropped 9 in a row.

Best Bet =  Boston -8.0  & Over 219.0


NEW ORLEANS @ NEW YORK

H2H Trends – 

  • Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
  • Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in New York.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
New Orleans 10 8 8-1 2-7
New York 5 14 2-6 3-8

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
New Orleans 119.6 117.1 +2.5
New York 108.6 114.6 -6.0

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
New York Under New York
+7.0 237.0 114-109

Trends

  • Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games.

The Rub

  • Knicks ended a 6-game losing streak with an impressive victory at Boston.
  • Pelicans used a 41-point 4th quarter to take a 129-124 win over the Knicks at home earlier this month.
  • That Overs line a bit much for us.

Best Bet  = Under 237.0


CLEVELAND @ PHILADELPHIA

H2H Trends – 

  • Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Cleveland 2 14 2-6 0-8
Philadelphia 13 7 10-0 3-7

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Cleveland 103.4 111.7 -8.3
Philadelphia 113.6 113.3 +0.3

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Philadelphia Over Cleveland
-13.0 220.0 121-112

Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games vs. teams above .600.
  • 76ers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 home games.

The Rub

  • Embiid had his 12th game of at least 30 points and 10 rebounds with 31 and 19 against  the New Orleans Pelicans 121-120 on Wednesday.
  • Philadelphia is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 at home and they should take care of a Cavs team that has bottomed out and more.

Best Bet  = Philadelphia -13.0  & Over 220.0


WASHINGTON @ TORONTO

H2H Trends

  • Wizards are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
  • Under is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Toronto.
  • Wizards are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 6 11 4-5 2-6
Toronto 15 4 7-2 8-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Washington 111.8 116.9 -5.1
Toronto 115.9 107.5 +8.4

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Raptors Over Toronto
-9.5 228.5 125-107

Team Trends

  • Over is 5-0 in Wizards last 5 games vs. a teams above .600.
  • Wizards are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. teams with winning home records.
  • Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 home games vs. teams with losing road records.
  • Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Over is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 home games.

The Rub

  • Toronto lead all stats categories in this matchup aside from turnovers.
  • Wizards finished a 3-2 homestand with a 125-118 win over the Clippers on Tuesday.
  • Overs are 9-2 in the Raptors last 11 at home.

Best Bet = Toronto -9.0   & Over 228.5


MIAMI @ CHICAGO

H2H Trends

  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Heat are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Miami 6 11 3-7 3-4
Chicago 5 13 3-7 2-6

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Miami 108.3 110.2 -1.9
Chicago 104.2 113.6 -9.4

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Chicago Under Miami
-2.5 213.5 103-96

Trends

  • Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. teams below .400.
  • Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Under is 9-1 in Bulls last 10 vs. teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 home games.

The Rub

  • Whiteside is day-to-day (knee tendinitis).
  • Heat should be glad to be on the road again, after 5 consecutive losses at home.
  • Little faith in the Bulls, but zero in the Heat.

Best Bet = NO BET


SAN ANTONIO @ INDIANA

H2H Trends

  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Indiana.
  • Spurs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
San Antonio 8 9 6-3 2-6
Indiana 11 7 6-3 5-4

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
San Antonio 108.5 109.4 -0.9
Indiana 105.9 102.4 +3.5

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Indiana Over San Antonio
-3.5 213.5 111-100

Trends

  • Over is 9-1-1 in Spurs last 11 road games vs. teams with winning home records.
  • Spurs are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. teams with winning home records.
  • Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 8-2 in Pacers last 10 home games vs. teams with losing road records.

The Rub

  • Spurs have dropped 7 of their past 9 games.
  • Pacers have won the past 3 meetings, including a 116-96 smashing in San Antonio in late October.
  • Spurs have failed ATS the last 6 meetings and each of the last 4 in Indiana.
  • If Oladipo suits up, take the Pacers ATS.

Best Bet = Indiana WIN 


CHARLOTTE @ OKLAHOMA CITY

H2H Trends – 

  • Hornets are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Hornets are 5-15-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Charlotte 9 8 6-3 3-5
Oklahoma City 11 6 6-2 5-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Charlotte 115.7 110.3 +5.4
Oklahoma City 111.8 105.6 +6.2

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Oklahoma City Over Oklahoma City
-6.0 226.5 109-104

Trends

  • Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Hornets last 6 games vs. teams above .600.
  • Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. teams above .500.
  • Over is 7-0 in Thunder last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

The Rub

  • OKC are rolling and we’re rolling with them.

Best Bet  =  Oklahoma City -6.0 & Over 226.5


PHOENIX @ MILWAUKEE

H2H Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Phoenix 3 14 3-6 0-8
Milwaukee 13 4 9-1 4-3

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Phoenix 103.6 114.1 -10.5
Milwaukee 121.4 108.5 +12.9

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Milwaukee Under Phoenix
-13.5 229.0 116-114

Trends

  • Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 road games.
  • Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. teams below .500.
  • Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. teams below .400.

The Rub

  • Bucks lead all stats categories aside from free throw %.
  • Bucks are 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 at home and will improve that tonight against a Suns team that can’t win on the road for love nor money.

Best Bet = Milwaukee -13.5 & Under 229.0 


ORLANDO @ DENVER

H2H Trends

  • Magic are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Magic are 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Denver.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Orlando 9 9 6-6 3-3
Denver 11 7 7-3 4-4

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Orlando 106.6 108.6 -2.0
Denver 110.1 104.3 +5.8

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Denver Over Denver
-7.0 214.5 112-87

Trends

  • Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 home games.

The Rub

  • Denver had dropped 6 of 7 before a 103-101 victory at Minnesota on Wednesday.
  • Magic have won 7 of their last 10 after a poor start to the season, Vucevic the star averaging 27 ppg over the last 4 games.
  • The Denver road trip is tough.

Best Bet =  Denver WIN 


PORTLAND @ GOLDEN STATE

H2H Trends

  • Over is 23-8 in the last 31 meetings.
  • Trail Blazers are 8-21 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Golden State

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Portland 12 6 7-2 5-4
Golden St. 12 7 8-2 4-5

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Portland 114.2 110.2 +4.0
Golden St. 115.4 111.1 +4.3

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Golden State Over Golden State
-1.5 218.5 125-97

Trends

  • Trail Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
  • Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

The Rub

  • Portland is making the final stop of a 6-game, 10-day trip.
  • Warriors are dealing with injuries to Curry (groin) and Green (toe) along with some locker room drama.
  • Taking the Warriors, only due to the Blazers being on the last of a 6 game road-trip stop..

Best Bet = Golden State WIN


UTAH @ LA LAKERS

H2H Trends

  • Jazz are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Utah 8 10 2-5 6-5
L.A. Lakers 10 7 5-3 5-4

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Utah 106.2 109.1 -2.9
L.A. Lakers 116.2 114.8 +1.4

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
LA Lakers Under LA Lakers
-2.5 219.0 90-83

Trends

  • Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 Friday games.
  • Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games
  • Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 games following a ATS loss.

The Rub

  • Lakers are flying going 6-1 over their last 8 games.
  • The staple of the Utah game over recent seasons has been defense, but that defensive intensity has been lacking with at least 113 points in all 4 losses of a 5-game stretch.
  • The Jazz have killed out parlays too many times this season, and they can fuck right off at this point.

Best Bet =  LA Lakers -2.5