11 Games – Tonight’s NBA Picks

nba picks and parlays

*Original NBA betting lines and research are done a game day morning, adjust your plays accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

NBA PARLAY

  • Sacramento @ Chicago – Sacramento -2.5 – WIN
  • Washington @ Indiana – Indiana -6.5 – WIN

TONIGHT’S CASH STAT

  • Wizards are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Best Bet – Washington @ Indiana – Indiana -6.5 WIN

TONIGHT’S NBA TIPS

WASHINGTON @ INDIANA

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 11 15 7-5 4-10
Atlanta 6 20 4-9 2-11

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Washington 112.0 116.7 -4.7
Atlanta 107.9 118.2 -10.3

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Indiana Under Indiana
-6.5 214.5 109-101

H2H Trends – 

  • Wizards are 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Indiana.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.
  • Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings

Wizards Trends

  • Wizards are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • Wizards are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 road games.
  • Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Wizards are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of better than .600.
  • Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games vs teams above .600.

Pacers Trends

  • Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
  • Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 games overall.
  • Under is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
  • Under is 9-3 in Pacers last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 19-7 in Pacers last 26 home games.

The Rub

  • Oladipo remains out (knee), but that isn’t stopping the Pacers, who will try to push their streak to 4 straight and improve to 7-4 since Oladipo went down.
  • Wizards remain inconsistent and followed up a 3-game streak with a poor 116-101 loss at Cleveland.
  • Wizards rank 2nd worst in rebounding rate and have been beaten on the glass all year.
  • Pacers to win and cover.

Best Bet  = Indiana -6.5


DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Detroit 13 11 9-6 4-5
Philadelphia 18 9 13-1 5-8

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Detroit 109.4 110.0 -0.6
Philadelphia 113.8 111.8 +2.0

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Philadelphia Over Philadelphia
-7.5 221.5 116-102

H2H Trends – 

  • Pistons are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Pistons Trends

  • Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on a B2B.
  • Under is 12-3-1 in Pistons last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of better than .600.
  • Pistons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 12-3-1 in Pistons last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.

76ers Trends

  • 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • 76ers are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games overall.

The Rub

  • 76ers are still trying to find the right offensive structure to get the best out of Embiid and Butler, but still go for a 6th victory in 7 tonight.
  • Pistons are struggling with 4 straight losses after a 116-108 setback against New Orleans at home, and have allowed 114.5 ppg during the losing streak.
  • Embiid missed Sunday’s practice due to a migraine and is uncertain.
  • 76ers won this matchup 117-111 at Detroit last Friday.
  • Can’t fault that 76ers home record.

Best Bet  = Philadelphia -7.5


NEW ORLEANS @ BOSTON

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
New Orleans 14 14 10-4 4-10
Boston 15 10 7-3 8-7

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
New Orleans 118.0 115.6 +2.4
Boston 110.3 102.9 +7.4

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Boston Over Boston
-6.5 228.5 113-100

H2H Trends – 

  • Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Boston.

Pelicans Trends

  • Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs teams above .500.
  • Pelicans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games
  • Under is 12-2 in Pelicans last 14 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 7-0 in Pelicans last 7 games on a B2B.
  • Under is 12-2 in Pelicans last 14 vs teams above .500.

Boston Trends

  • Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Celtics are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs teams below .500.
  • Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Celtics are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 home games
  • Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games overall.
  • Over is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
  • Over is 43-18-1 in Celtics last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

The Rub

  • Boston are averaging 126.2 ppg during a 5 game streak and set a record for the largest victory in franchise history with a 133-77 smashing of the Bulls on Saturday.
  • Pelicans have swapped wins and losses since the meeting with Boston and opened a 2-game road trip with a 116-108 win at Detroit on Sunday.
  • Boston took this matchup 124-107 at New Orleans on the 27th Dec.
  • Ride a red-hot Boston tonight in a close one.

Best Bet  = Boston WIN


SACRAMENTO @ CHICAGO

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Sacramento 13 12 6-5 7-7
Chicago 6 21 4-10 2-11
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Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Sacramento 114.5 116.0 -1.5
Chicago 102.3 113.0 -10.7

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Sacramento Under Sacramento
-2.5 225.0 108-89

H2H Trends

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Kings are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Chicago

Kings Trends

  • Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.

Bulls Trends

  • Bulls are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in Bulls last 11 home games.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Bulls last 9 games overall

The Rub

  • Fresh off the worst loss in team history (133-77 vs Boston), the Bulls are struggling with their new coach and his methods. Jim Boylen subbed all five starters in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, a move that didn’t sit well with the players.
  • That -2.5 is very generous for the Kings against the basket-case Bulls.

Best Bet =  Sacramento -2.5


CLEVELAND @ MILWAUKEE

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Cleveland 6 20 4-10 2-10
Milwaukee 17 8 12-3 5-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Cleveland 103.5 111.5 -8.0
Milwaukee 119.4 109.8 9.6

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Milwaukee Under Milwaukee
-14.0 221.5 108-92

H2H Trends – 

  • Over is 24-7 in the last 31 meetings.
  • Over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Milwaukee.

Cavs Trends

  • Under is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 road games.

Bucks Trends

  • Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • Bucks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games on a B2B.
  • Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 home games
  • Over is 36-15 in Bucks last 51 overall

The Rub

  • Just 3 days after their part in a 3-team, 5-player trade, the visiting Cavaliers and Bucks tip-off.
  • Cavaliers shipped veteran George Hill to the Bucks while acquiring Dellavedova and John Henson from Milwaukee in a deal that also involved Washington.
  • Milwaukee tonight -14.0, but we’ll stay away.

Best Bet  =  NO BET


UTAH @ OKLAHOMA CITY

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Utah 13 14 4-6 9-8
OKC 16 8 9-3 7-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Utah 107.0 107.3 -0.3
OKC 111.1 104.4 +6.7

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Utah Under Oklahoma City
+6.0 216.5 122-113

H2H Trends – 

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Jazz are 4-12-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Under is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.

Jazz Trends

  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
  • Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on a B2B.
  • Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 20-9 in Jazz last 29 vs teams above .500.

OKC Trends

  • Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • Thunder are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall

The Rub

  • The Thunder suffered a shock 114-112 loss at Bulls on Friday, but haven’t lost 2 in a row since their 0-4 start.
  • Westbrook has notched 5 triple-doubles in his last 8 games.
  • OKC for the win, but the -6.0 is a bit much, especially seeing as though the Jazz seem to like killing us ATS. Yes, it’s personal now.

Best Bet  = Under 216.5


ORLANDO @ DALLAS

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Orlando 12 14 6-8 6-6
Dallas 13 11 11-2 2-9

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Orlando 105.7 108.2 -2.5
Dallas 110.5 109.3 +1.2

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Dallas Over Dallas
-5.5 211.5 101-76

H2H Trends

  • Magic are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.
  • Over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
  • Over is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Dallas

Magic Trends

  • Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs teams above .500.
  • Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100+ points in their previous game.
  • Under is 15-7 in Magic last 22 road games

Mavs Trends

  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams below .500.
  • Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
  • Mavericks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.
  • Mavericks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games.
  • Over is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 vs teams below .500.

The Rub

  • Dallas have long forgotten a 2-7 start and look to continue their rise with a 10th straight home-court win tonight, and 11 of their last 15 overall.
  • Orlando have dropped 6 of their last 9 and 2 in a row, turning the ball over like they have tennis-racquet hands.
  • Overs best. Could be close.

Best Bet = Over 211.5


MEMPHIS @ DENVER

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Memphis 15 10 8-4 7-6
Denver 17 9 9-3 8-6

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Memphis 103.5 102.7 +0.8
Denver 110.2 103.8 +6.4

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Denver Over Denver
-2.5 198.5 105-99

H2H Trends

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
  • Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
  • Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings

Grizzlies Trends

  • Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Grizzlies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games overall.
  • Under is 8-0 in Grizzlies last 8 vs teams above .500.

Nuggets Trends

  • Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Nuggets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.
  • Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7+ days
  • Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 7-3 in Nuggets last 10 games overall.

The Rub

  • Denver climbed to the top of the West after a 7-game streak, which included 5 straight road wins, before losing at Charlotte and Atlanta as injuries piled up.
  • Grizzlies are looking to bounce back from a bad loss after falling 111-88 at home to the Lakers.
  • Grizzlies have become one of the best defensive teams in the NBA and are 2nd in points allowed at 102.7 ppg.
  • It’s not often you see a total points under 200.0 these days, so we’ll take it, despite the trends.

Best Bet = Over 198.5


LA CLIPPERS @ PHOENIX

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
L.A. Clippers 16 9 9-2 7-7
Phoenix 4 22 3-10 1-12

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
L.A. Clippers 115.6 112.6 +3.0
Phoenix 102.2 113.8 -11.6

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
LA Clippers Under LA Clippers
-10.0 220.0 123-119

H2H Trends

  • Clippers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Clippers Trends

  • Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Clippers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .400.
  • Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Over is 10-4 in Clippers last 14 games overall.

Suns Trends

  • Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Suns are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Suns are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games vs teams above .500.
  • Suns are 10-27-1 ATS in their last 38 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Under is 7-2 in Suns last 9 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 8-3 in Suns last 11 home games.

The Rub

  • Suns have dropped their last 8 and own the worst record in the NBA. Their last 6 losses in double figures.
  • Clips lead all stats categories and with the Suns 2 leading scorers likely out, the -10.0 is good.

Best Bet = LA Clippers -10.0


MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Minnesota 13 13 11-4 2-9
Golden St. 18 9 11-2 7-7

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Minnesota 109.8 109.6 +0.2
Golden St. 116.4 110.6 +5.8

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Golden State Over Golden State
-10.0 226.0 116-108

H2H Trends – 

  • Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Golden State.
  • Timberwolves are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 23-8 in the last 31 meetings.

T-Wolves Trends

  • Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Timberwolves are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 road games.
  • Under is 5-0 in Timberwolves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 11-1 in Timberwolves last 12 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 14-3 in Timberwolves last 17 road games.
  • Under is 14-4 in Timberwolves last 18 overall

Warriors Trends

  • Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
  • Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Over is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games overall.

The Rub

  • Warriors finished their 5-game road trip with 3 consecutive wins and could have Draymond back when they begin a stretch with 7 of 9 at Oracle.
  • Curry is back in form, averaging 30.7 ppg over their last 3 games.
  • Warriors have hit 6th gear. Ride the wave.

Best Bet  =  Golden State -10.0 & Over 226.0


LA LAKERS @ MIAMI

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
L.A. Lakers 16 10 10-4 6-6
Miami 11 14 5-9 6-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
L.A. Lakers 113.3 111.1 +2.2
Miami 108.2 108.5 -0.3

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
LA Lakers Over LA Lakers
-6.5 218.0 108-105

H2H Trends – 

  • Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.

Heat Trends

  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs teams above .600.
  • Heat are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
  • Heat are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a teams above .600.
  • Over is 11-5 in Heat last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 7-3 in Heat last 10 road games

Lakers Trends

  • Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 home games
  • Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 16-5-1 in Lakers last 22 overall.

The Rub

  • Super-friends LeBron and D-Wade likely hit the court together for the final time tonight. Expect lots of hugs and kisses.
  • James and Wade entered in the same 2003 draft class and spent 4  seasons together in Miami and part of 2017-18 together in Cleveland.
  • Lakers won 113-97 as -1.0 favs at Miami on Nov. 18, James scored 51 points.
  • Lakers -6.5 is generous.
  • Just enjoy the love.

Best Bet  = Over 2.5 LeBron/Wade hugs