Tonight’s NBA Picks
*Original NBA betting tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your plays accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
CASH STAT
- Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Heat are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games playing on a B2B.
- Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Bulls are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Best Bet – Miami @ Chicago – Miami -2.5 – WIN
TONIGHT’S NBA TIPS
OKLAHOMA CITY @ PHILADELPHIA
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 26 | 18 | 14-7 | 12-11 |
| Philadelphia | 30 | 16 | 19-4 | 11-12 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| OKC | 113.4 | 108.9 | +4.5 |
| Philadelphia | 115.5 | 112.1 | +3.4 |
H2H Trends –
- Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Thunder Trends
- Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games overall.
- Under is 18-7 in Thunder last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 42-18 in Thunder last 60 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 37-16 in Thunder last 53 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 21-10 in Thunder last 31 road games.
76ers Trends
- 76ers are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in 76ers last 8 vs teams over .500.
Season Series
| 29.01.18 | OKC | Philadelphia | 122 : 112 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Philadelphia | Under | Oklahoma City |
| -2.0 | 234.0 | 117-115 |
- 76ers have won 3 straight and smashed their last 2 opponents by a total of 66 points (Indiana by 24, T-Wolves by 42).
- OKC have lost 5 of their last 6 games while struggling defensively.
- 76ers will put the OKC defense to the test tonight after recent blowout wins.
- Both rank in top 7 in tempo, so the Overs is tempting, however the 234.0 is a stretch.
Best Bet = Philadelphia -2.0
PHOENIX @ CHARLOTTE
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Phoenix | 11 | 35 | 7-17 | 4-18 |
| Charlotte | 21 | 23 | 15-8 | 6-15 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Phoenix | 106.0 | 114.5 | -8.5 |
| Charlotte | 112.1 | 111.4 | +0.7 |
H2H Trends –
- Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
Suns Trends
- Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams under .500.
- Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Suns last 5 vs teams under .500.
- Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Suns last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 20-6 in Suns last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
Hornets Trends
- Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 11-1 in Hornets last 12 vs teams under .500.
- Under is 5-1 in Hornets last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
Season Series
| 07.01.19 | Phoenix | Charlotte | 113 : 119 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Phoenix | Over | Charlotte |
| +7.0 | 222.0 | 135-115 |
- Charlotte dominate this matchup statistically.
- Charlotte is hanging out in the No. 8 spot in the East and will try to creep above .500 tonight.
- Suns rank 3rd worst in the league defensively so Overs is nice, but we’ll stay away from this one.
Best Bet = NO BET.
SACRAMENTO @ DETROIT
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Sacramento | 23 | 22 | 14-10 | 9-12 |
| Detroit | 20 | 24 | 13-10 | 7-14 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Sacramento | 114.2 | 115.4 | -1.2 |
| Detroit | 106.7 | 109.2 | -2.5 |
H2H Trends –
- Kings are 4-1-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.
Kings Trends
- Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs teams under .500.
- Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Kings last 6 games overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Kings last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-2 in Kings last 9 vs teams under .500.
- Over is 16-5 in Kings last 21 road games.
Pistons Trends
- Pistons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Pistons are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs teams over .500.
- Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 vs teams over .500.
- Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 overall.
- Under is 23-7-1 in Pistons last 31 games playing on a B2B.
Season Series
| 11.01.19 | Sacramento | Detroit | 112 : 102 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Sacramento | Under | Sacramento |
| -1.0 | 221.0 | 103-101 |
- Pistons are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs teams over .500. and on a B2B tonight, the fresh young Kings may have too much energy.
Best Bet = Sacramento -1.0
DALLAS @ INDIANA
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Dallas | 20 | 24 | 16-6 | 4-18 |
| Indiana | 29 | 15 | 15-6 | 14-9 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Dallas | 109.8 | 109.5 | +0.3 |
| Indiana | 108.7 | 103.4 | +5.3 |
H2H Trends
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Mavericks Trends
- Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 6-2 in Mavericks last 8 games overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Mavericks last 8 games vs teams above .600.
Pacers Trends
- Pacers are 25-6 ATS in their last 31 games following a loss of 10+ at home.
- Pacers are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss.
- Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Over is 9-1 in Pacers last 10 games overall.
- Under is 25-9 in Pacers last 34 home games.
- Under is 14-6 in Pacers last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 11-5 in Pacers last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
Season Series – 1st Meeting
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Dallas | Under | Indiana |
| +6.5 | 214.5 | 111-99 |
- Indiana’s last 3 losses are to the Raptors, Celtics and 76ers by an average of 22.3 ppg but in between are easy wins over the Cavaliers, Knicks and Suns.
- Dallas lost their last 2 by a total of 9 points against West-powers Warriors and Spurs.
- Dallas have reached the 214.5 total in just 3 of their last 10. The Pacers in 6 of 10.
Best Bet = Under 214.5
MILWAUKEE @ ORLANDO
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Milwaukee | 32 | 12 | 20-4 | 12-8 |
| Orlando | 19 | 26 | 12-12 | 7-14 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Milwaukee | 117.6 | 107.6 | +10.0 |
| Orlando | 103.8 | 107.7 | -3.9 |
H2H Trends –
- Bucks are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Orlando.
Bucks Trends
- Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs teams under .500.
- Bucks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games.
Magic Trends
- Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 games playing on a B2B.
- Under is 5-1 in Magic last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-2 in Magic last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Season Series
| 28.10.18 | Milwaukee | Orlando | 113 : 91 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Milwaukee | Under | Milwaukee |
| -8.5 | 219.5 | 118-108 |
- Bucks look to post their 15th win in the past 18 games tonight.
- Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs teams under .500. and a -8.5 line is generous.
- Magic are slipping with 11 losses in their last 16 and blew a 21-point lead before losing 117-115 at home to the Nets on Friday.
Best Bet = Milwaukee -8.5
BOSTON @ ATLANTA
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Boston | 27 | 18 | 17-5 | 10-13 |
| Atlanta | 14 | 30 | 8-11 | 6-19 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Boston | 112.0 | 105.9 | +6.1 |
| Atlanta | 109.9 | 117.8 | -7.9 |
H2H Trends –
- Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Celtics Trends
- Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs teams below .400.
- Celtics are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games vs teams under .500.
- Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on a B2B.
- Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on a B2B..
- Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 vs teams under .500.
- Over is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 road games.
Hawks Trends
- Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams over .500.
- Hawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Hawks last 7 vs teams over .500.
Season Series
| 15.12.18 | Boston | Atlanta | 129 : 108 |
| 24.11.18 | Atlanta | Boston | 96 : 114 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Boston | Over | Boston |
| -8.0 | 226.5 | 113-105 |
- Hawks are 8-7 since a 6-23 start and are coming off their best win of the season, a 142-126 victory over OKC on Tuesday.
- Celtics have lost 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 on the road.
- Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on a B2B so a -8.0 spread is concerning, but just skinny enough.
- Over best.
Best Bet = Over 226.5
MEMPHIS @ TORONTO
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Memphis | 19 | 26 | 11-10 | 8-16 |
| Toronto | 34 | 13 | 19-4 | 15-9 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Memphis | 101.2 | 103.5 | -2.3 |
| Toronto | 113.8 | 108.7 | +5.1 |
H2H Trends –
- Under is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings in Toronto.
- Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Grizzlies Trends
- Grizzlies are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
- Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs teams over .500.
- Grizzlies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games playing on a B2B.
- Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on a B2B.
- Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games overall.
- Under is 13-5 in Grizzlies last 18 vs teams over .500.
Raptors Trends
- Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs teams under .500.
- Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games overall.
- Under is 11-5 in Raptors last 16 vs teams under .500.
Season Series
| 28.11.18 | Memphis | Toronto | 114 : 122 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Toronto | Over | Toronto |
| -12.5 | 208.0 | 119-90 |
- Grizzlies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games playing on a B2B.
- Raptors have won 8 straight at home and should have Kawhi back tonight. (Update – Kawhi is OUT).
- Grizzlies have failed ATS in 21 of the last 27 overall and 9 of the last 10 when playing the second half of B2Bs.
Best Bet = Over 208.0
MIAMI @ CHICAGO
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Miami | 21 | 22 | 11-12 | 10-10 |
| Chicago | 10 | 35 | 5-16 | 5-19 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Miami | 105.9 | 105.9 | +0.0 |
| Chicago | 101.0 | 111.4 | -10.4 |
H2H Trends
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Heat are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
Heat Trends
- Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Heat are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games playing on a B2B.
- Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
- Over is 12-2 in Heat last 14 games playing on a B2B.
- Under is 13-3 in Heat last 16 vs teams under .500.
- Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a teams below .400.
- Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games overall.
Bulls Trends
- Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Bulls are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 games overall.
- Under is 22-9-1 in Bulls last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 12-5-1 in Bulls last 18 home games.
Season Series
| 24.11.18 | Chicago | Miami | 96 : 103 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Miami | Under | Miami |
| -2.5 | 206.5 | 117-103 |
- Bulls are favorites? Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games and should deal with a generous +2.5 tonight.
- Heat will try to defeat the Bulls for the 6th time in the past 7 meetings.
- Bulls showing fuck all lately.
Best Bet = Miami -2.5
LA LAKERS @ HOUSTON
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| L.A. Lakers | 25 | 21 | 15-9 | 10-12 |
| Houston | 25 | 19 | 16-7 | 9-12 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| L.A. Lakers | 111.9 | 110.8 | +1.1 |
| Houston | 112.0 | 110.0 | +2.0 |
H2H Trends –
- Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.
- Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Houston.
Lakers Trends
- Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 vs teams over .500.
- Under is 28-11 in Lakers last 39 games overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Lakers last 7 road games.
Rockets Trends
- Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Rockets are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.
- Rockets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs teams over .500.
- Rockets are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 vs teams over .500.
- Over is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 home games.
- Over is 9-4 in Rockets last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Season Series
| 14.12.18 | Houston | LA Lakers | 126 : 111 |
| 21.10.18 | LA Lakers | Houston | 115 : 124 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Houston | Over | Houston |
| -7.0 | 226.5 | 138-134 |
- Lakers moved to 5-7 since LeBron went down with a groin injury on Christmas Day when they beat the Thunder 138-128 in OT on Thursday.
- Lakers have reached the 226.5 in just 3 of their last 10, the Rockets in 4 of 10, however the recent matchups show the 226.5 is low.
Best Bet = NO BET.
CLEVELAND @ DENVER
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Cleveland | 9 | 37 | 5-17 | 4-20 |
| Denver | 30 | 14 | 19-4 | 11-10 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Cleveland | 102.8 | 113.7 | -10.9 |
| Denver | 111.0 | 106.3 | +4.7 |
H2H Trends –
- Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver.
Cavaliers Trends
- Cavaliers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing on a B2B.
- Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cavaliers last 8 games overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs teams over .500.
- Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- Under is 16-6 in Cavaliers last 22 games playing on a B2B.
- Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 games vs teams above .600.
Nuggets Trends
- Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
- Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs teams under .500.
- Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 home games.
- Over is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 overall.
Season Series
| 02.11.18 | Cleveland | Denver | 91 : 110 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Denver | Under | Denver |
| -16.5 | 218.0 | 124-102 |
- Cavaliers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing on a B2B, however the thin Denver air could be tougher on a B2B.
- Nuggets go for their 11th win in 14 games tonight.
- Cavaliers are getting smashed regularly as 19 of their last 22 losses have been by 10+ points.
Best Bet = NO BET.
