Expert NBA Tips and Player Prop Betting Picks

11 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 25/11/19

November 25, 2019

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*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

BROOKLYN @ CLEVELAND

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NETS TRENDS

4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
4-12 ATS in last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
Under is 7-3 in last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.

CAVALIERS TRENDS

4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
1-3-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
3-10-1 ATS in last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.
1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
Over is 21-8 in last 29 games playing on 1 days rest.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
Nets are 24-9 ATS in the last 33 meetings in Cleveland.
Nets are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Collin Sexton has scored 23+ points in each of the Cavaliers’ last 5 games against teams on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.
Joe Harris has scored 18+ points in each of the Nets’ last 2 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
BKN	8	8	5-3	3-5
CLE	5	11	3-4	2-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
BKN	113	114.4	-1.4	227.4
CLE	104.3	111.6	-7.3	215.9

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Brooklyn	Under	Brooklyn
+1.0	217.5	108-106

THE RUB

The Nets will be without Irving again but it hasn’t been an issue with the Nets 4-1 since he has been on the sidelines. During those 5 games, 217 total points has only been reached once.

OUR PICK – Under 217.5

ORLANDO @ DETROIT

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAGIC TRENDS

5-11-1 ATS in last 17 games overall.
2-6 ATS in last 8 road games.
1-5 ATS in last 6 games following an ATS win.
2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
Under is 41-19 in last 60 games following a straight up loss.

PISTONS TRENDS

4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
6-19-1 ATS in last 26 games overall.
2-8 ATS in last 10 games following a straight up loss of 10+ points.
Over is 7-0 in last 7 games following a straight up loss of 10+ points.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Detroit.
Magic are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Magic are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.

PLAYER TRENDS

Evan Fournier has scored 21+ points in each of the Magic’s last 4 games.
Jonathan Isaac has recorded 9+ rebounds in the Magic’s last 4 road games.
Derrick Rose has scored 17+ points in 5 of his last 7 home games against the Magic.
Andre Drummond has recorded 18+ rebounds in 3 of the Pistons’ last 4 games against the Magic.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
ORL	6	9	6-3	0-6
DET	5	11	4-3	1-8

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
ORL	102.1	102.9	-0.8	205.0
DET	107.5	110.9	-3.4	218.4

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Detroit	Over	Detroit
-4.5	207.5	103-88

THE RUB

Orlando are now 0-2 since losing Gordon and Vucevic and to match it against a Griffin and Drummond combo would be a little too much.

OUR PICK – Detroit WIN

MEMPHIS @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .500.
3-7 ATS in last 10 games following a ATS win.
8-19 ATS in last 27 vs East teams.
Under is 14-3 in last 17 Monday games.
Under is 20-6 in last 26 road vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.

PACERS TRENDS

4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
Under is 9-2 in last 11 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
Under is 39-19 in last 58 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Grizzlies are 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Myles Turner has scored 16+ points in each of the Pacers’ last 5 Monday home games.
Domantas Sabonis has recorded 14+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games at home.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MEM	5	10	3-7	2-3
IND	9	6	6-2	3-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
MEM	108.9	117.8	-8.9	226.7
IND	107.7	103.3	+4.4	211.0

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Memphis	Under	Indiana
+9.0	217.5	126-114

THE RUB

The Pacers are hot favorites and with a 6-2 record, it shouldn’t be an issue. The unknown for us is how the Grizzlies will travel. With only 5 road game this season so far, the sample size isn’t there. Easy to take the ML, otherwise the Under looks nice.

OUR PICK – Under 217.5

MINNESOTA @ ATLANTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

8-2 ATS in last 10 road games.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .400.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
Under is 9-4 in last 13 road games.

HAWKS TRENDS

3-7 ATS in last 10 games overall.
5-0 ATS in last 5 home vs a team with a winning road record.
1-6 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 6-0 in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 9-0 in last 9 overall.
Over is 8-0 in last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs Western Conference.
Over is 9-0 in last 9 after allowing 100+ points in their previous game.
Over is 8-0 in last 8 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
Timberwolves are 7-3-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Atlanta.
Underdog is 18-7-3 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 31+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 3 games against the Hawks.
Jabari Parker has scored 20+ points in 3 of his last 4 games against the Timberwolves.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIN	8	8	3-6	5-2
ATL	4	12	2-6	2-6

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
MIN	113.4	115.3	-1.9	228.7
ATL	107.8	117.7	-9.9	225.5

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Minnesota	Over	Minnesota
-3.5	235.5	125-113

THE RUB

The Hawks have lost 6 straight and are really struggling to cover the loss of John Collins.

Minnesota just can’t keep a healthy team on the court and can only roll with KAT and Wiggins at the moment. Bit too risky to go near with both teams not having a defined lineup.

OUR PICK – Over 235.5

SACRAMENTO @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KINGS TRENDS

4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .500.
8-1 ATS in last 9 games overall.
4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
2-5 ATS in last 7 games v teams above .600.
2-11 ATS in last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 games v teams above .600.
Under is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
Under is 16-6 in last 22 vs teams above .500.

CELTICS TRENDS

3-1-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
9-3-2 ATS in last 14 games overall.
1-3-2 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Boston.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Home team is 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
Kings are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

PLAYER TRENDS

Harrison Barnes has scored 16+ points in the Kings’ last 7 road games against East teams.
Jayson Tatum has scored 23+ points in four of the Celtics’ last 5 games at TD Garden.
Jaylen Brown has recorded 8+ rebounds in four of the Celtics’ last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
SAC	7	8	4-3	3-5
BOS	11	4	5-0	6-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
SAC	105.5	109.3	-3.8	214.8
BOS	110.7	103.8	+6.9	214.5

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Boston	Under	Boston
-8.0	212.5	103-102

THE RUB

Boston almost stole a win in Denver of all places, even without Kemba Walker for the second half, who is doubtful tonight. It proves that the Celtics are almost the team of 2 seasons ago where the system is stronger than the individual.

Kings on a road B2B

OUR PICK – Boston -8.0

CHARLOTTE @ MIAMI

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HORNETS TRENDS

7-3 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500.
9-4 ATS in last 13 road games.
5-12 ATS in last 17 vs teams above .600.
Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
Over is 7-3-1 in last 11 games v teams above .600.

HEAT TRENDS

8-0-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .400.
7-0 ATS in last 7 home games.
5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
12-3-1 ATS in last 16 vs teams below .500.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
Under is 9-4 in last 13 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
Hornets are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
Hornets are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Kendrick Nunn has scored 17+ points in 7 of the Heat’s last 8 games as favourites.
Terry Rozier has scored 18+ points in each of the Hornets’ last 3 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
CHA	6	11	3-5	3-6
MIA	11	4	6-0	5-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
CHA	106.3	113.7	-7.4	220.0
MIA	110.7	104.6	+6.1	215.3

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Miami	Over	Miami
-10.5	215.0	117-100

THE RUB

Miami along with 3 other Eastern Conference teams (Celtics, 76ers & Raptors) are yet to drop a game on home court and against the Hornets, the streak will remain intact.

OUR PICK – Miami -10.5

PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

76ERS TRENDS

5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .500.
Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
Under is 20-7 in last 27 vs teams above .600.
Under is 11-5 in last 16 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

RAPTORS TRENDS

6-1 ATS in last 7 games following an ATS loss.
11-3-1 ATS in last 15 vs teams above .500.
10-3-1 ATS in last 14 vs teams above .600.
15-5-1 ATS in last 21 home games.
17-7-1 ATS in last 25 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
76ers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Joel Embiid has scored 21 points or less in each of the 76ers’ last 5 games in Toronto.
Ben Simmons has had 5 assists or less in each of the 76ers’ last 4 road games against the Raptors.
Fred VanVleet has scored 24+ points in 4 of the Raptors’ last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
PHI	11	5	7-0	4-5
TOR	11	4	6-0	5-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
PHI	110.3	105.1	+5.2	215.4
TOR	113.7	106.1	+7.6	219.8

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Philadelphia	Over	Toronto
-1.0	214.0	101-96

THE RUB

The 76ers last memory of the Raptors was a Game 7 buzzer beater by Kawhi that sent Philly home. We all know what occurred from there and the 76ers missed a golden opportunity to go all the way.

Will the demons haunt Embiid and crew or are they up for payback?

OUR PICK – Over 214.0

PORTLAND @ CHICAGO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TRAILBLAZERS TRENDS

3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games overall.
2-6 ATS in last 8 road games.
15-6-2 ATS in last 23 vs. East teams.
Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
Over is 10-4-1 in last 15 vs teams below .400.

BULLS TRENDS

6-13 ATS in last 19 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game.
8-22 ATS in last 30 home games.
7-21 ATS in last 28 home vs. a team with a losing road record.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 12-5 in last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 8-3 in last 11 home vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

C.J. McCollum has scored 24+ points in his last 4 games against the Bulls.
Zach LaVine has scored 15 points or less in the Bulls’ last 3 home games.
Wendell Carter Jr. has had 11+ rebounds in 7 of the Bulls’ last 9 home games.
Damian Lillard has scored 30+ points in 3 of his last 4 road games against the Bulls.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
POR	5	12	1-4	4-8
CHI	6	11	3-6	3-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
POR	112.5	116.3	-3.8	228.8
CHI	107.9	110.5	-2.6	218.4

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Portland	Over	Portland
-1.0	226.5	117-94

THE RUB

Another hot pick for the Overs as the Blazers have lost the will to play any defense. Currently on the last leg of a 6 game road trip, they have let their opponents score an average score 122 ppg.

Overs best.

OUR PICK – Over 226.5

UTAH @ MILWAUKEE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

JAZZ TRENDS

2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
1-5-1 ATS in last 7 games after scoring 125+ points in their previous game.
Under is 9-1 in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
Under is 12-4 in last 16 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.
Under is 14-5 in last 19 overall.

BUCKS TRENDS

15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games following an ATS win.
2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
27-11-1 ATS in their last 39 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Jazz are 26-8 ATS in the last 34 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.

PLAYER TRENDS

Eric Bledsoe has scored 20+ points in the Bucks’ last 5 games against West teams.
Giannis has recorded 15+ rebounds in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 games against West teams.
Donovan Mitchell has had 6 assists in the Jazz’s last 2 games against the Bucks.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
UTA	11	5	8-1	3-4
MIL	13	3	5-1	8-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
UTA	106.4	102.4	+4.0	208.8
MIL	119.8	110.2	+9.6	230.0

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
Milwaukee	Over	Milwaukee
-5.5	218.5	122-118

THE RUB

The Cream City Bucks are 5-1 at home and are tied with the Lakers for the longest active winning streak at 7.

During those 7 games, Milwaukee’s average winning margin has been just under 11 points.

OUR PICK – Milwaukee -5.5

LA LAKERS @ SAN ANTONIO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

LAKERS TRENDS

1-4 ATS in last 5 games following a straight up win.
1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 8-3 in last 11 after allowing 100+ points in their previous game.
Under is 20-9 in last 29 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.

SPURS TRENDS

2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
7-21 ATS in last 28 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.
6-20 ATS in last 26 when their opponent allows 100+ points their previous game.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
3-13 ATS in last 16 home games.
0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .500.
Over is 9-2 in last 11 home games.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
Lakers are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

LaMarcus Aldridge has scored 15 points or less in each of his last 5 games against the Lakers at AT&T Center.
LeBron James has scored 28+ points in 6 of his last 7games against the Spurs.
DeMar DeRozan has scored 30+ points in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 games against the Lakers.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
LAL	14	2	8-1	6-1
SAS	6	11	4-4	2-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT
LAL	111.9	103.1	8.8	215.0
SAS	112.8	115.4	-2.6	228.2

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
LA Lakers	Under	LA Lakers
-4.5	223.0	114-104

THE RUB

The Lakers are flying and its pretty simple when you have LeBron and AD causing havoc across the court.

The Spurs snapped an 8 game losing streak with a win against the Knicks. They have massive gaps within the interior where the Lakers have been king all year.

OUR PICK – LA Lakers -4.5

OKLAHOMA CITY @ GOLDEN STATE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

THUNDER TRENDS

4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
16-5 ATS in last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.
5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
5-11 ATS in last 16 vs teams below .500.
2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .400.
Under is 6-0 in last 6 games after scoring 125+ points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
Under is 21-9 in last 30 games after allowing 125+ points in their previous game.

WARRIORS TRENDS

8-17-1 ATS in last 26 vs teams below .500.
15-35-1 ATS in last 51 home games.
2-9 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .400.
5-20-1 ATS in last 26 home vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 8-2 in last 10 games following a ATS win.
Over is 10-4 in last 14 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their previous game.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 12-1 in the last 13 meetings in Golden State.
Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
Thunder are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Thunder are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Golden State.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Dennis Schroder has scored 15+ points in his last 11 games against the Warriors.
Eric Paschall has recorded 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Warriors’ last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS