NBA Western Conference Finals – Golden State @ Houston – Game 1

Tonight’s Free NBA Playoff Picks

It’s the Conference Finals tonight, here are our NBA picks for tonight’s games.

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Confidence out of 1-5


Western Conference Finals – Game 1


Golden State @ Houston

  • Western Conference Final – Game 1

H2H Trends

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Golden State are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Season Series

21.01.18 Houston Golden State 116 : 108
05.01.18 Houston Golden State 114 : 124
18.10.17 Golden State Houston 121 : 122

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME AWAY
Houston 65 17 34-7 31-10
Golden State 58 24 29-12 29-12

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Houston 112.4 103.9 +8.5
Golden State 113.5 107.5 +6.0

Picks against the spread

 Spread O/U Points   Result
 Golden State  Under  Golden State
 +1.5  225.0  119-106

It’s the match-up we’ve been waiting for, and the winner of this Series will walk into the NBA Finals as firm favorites.

The Warriors enter the Conference Finals as -200 favorites against the Rockets, with experience in Playoffs certainly firming their favoritism.

Ranking 1st and 2nd in ppg and offensive efficiency has pushed the Total Points Line to 223.5, with the Unders 7-3 over the last 10 meetings, and 5-1 over the last 6 at Toyota Center. SO don’t expect this one to be a shootout, especially in the heat of a Game 1.

The Rockets are averaging 40 3-point attempts per game with the Warriors averaging 30, this likely to lift with the return of Curry, however this Series will not be won from beyond the arc and it’s Houston’s lack of ball movement that should be their concern, averaging only 20.6 assists compared to the Warriors 28.8 through the Playoffs.

The Curry vs Paul match-up will be where our eyes are drawn, with a bit of bad blood likely to result in a fair bit of jawing.

Golden State at -102 might be the best price we’ll see all Series for the Warriors, so take it with confidence.

Cool heads wins out tonight.

Best Bet  = Golden State +1.5 tick


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