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NBA Playoffs – Day 11

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly. 

NBA Playoff Picks


The Midfield NBA Parlay:

The Midfield Parlay

The Midfield Parlay

Oklahoma City @ Houston – Houston -7.5

Utah @ LA Clippers – LA Clippers -3.5


Oklahoma City @ Houston

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

HOUSTON LEAD SERIES 3-1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Houston  Under  Houston
-7.5 223.0 105-99

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Houston 30-11 25-16
OKC 28-13 19-22

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Houston 115.3 109.6  +5.7
OKC 106.6 105.8  +0.8

SERIES

GAME 4 OKC Houston 109 : 113
GAME 3 OKC Houston 115 : 113
GAME 2 Houston OKC 115 : 111
GAME 1 Houston OKC 118 : 87
27.03.17 Houston OKC 137 : 125
06.01.17 Houston OKC 118 : 116
10.12.16 OKC Houston 99 : 102
17.11.16 OKC Houston 105 : 103

The Trends-

  • Oklahoma City are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 match-ups.
  • Total Points Over is 4-1 in the last 5 match-ups in Houston.
  • Oklahoma City are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 match-ups in Houston.

The Russ factor is glaring, and never so more than in this series.

Oklahoma City is plus-3 with Westbrook on the court in this series with Houston, minus-40 with him on the bench. While Westbrook made a stand to defend his teammates in the post-match conference, the numbers don’t lie. No Russ, no OKC.

While the Thunder bench has been sub-par, the Rockets bench has excelled, and that will continue to be the difference here. Rockets to close this one out in what may be a double figure winning margin, with the Houston crowd pushing them to overcome recent sluggish starts.

Picks –

Best Pick: Houston -7.5

Feeling Lucky Pick – Houston 11+ @2.44


Memphis @ San Antonio

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

SERIES TIED 2-2

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Memphis  Over  San Antonio
+10.0 186.5  116-103

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
San Antonio 31-10 30-11
Memphis 24-17 19-22

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
San Antonio 105.3 98.1 +7.2
Memphis 100.5 100.0 +0.5

SERIES

GAME 4 Memphis Spurs 110 : 108 (96 : 96)
GAME 3 Memphis Spurs 105 : 94
GAME 2 Spurs Memphis 96 : 82
GAME 1 Spurs Memphis 111 : 82
05.04.17 Spurs Memphis 95 : 89 (84 : 84)
24.03.17 Spurs Memphis 97 : 90
19.03.17 Memphis Spurs 104 : 96
07.02.17 Memphis Spurs 89 : 74

The Trends-

  • Total Points Under is 5-1 in the last 6 match-ups in San Antonio.
  • Memphis are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 match-ups.

Home court has been the key in this series, and now we’re back in Texas, with a Marc Gasol floater at the buzzer taking it to 2-2.

In Game 4 Memphis found a way to win despite spilling 23 turnovers that led to 31 Spurs points and a career-high 43 points from Kawhi.

They won’t be able to make these mistakes at AT&T, because they will pay for it dearly. We’re going to continue on with the home theme here, that line’s too high for us though.

Picks –

The Best Pick – Total Points Over 186.5

Feeling Lucky – San Antonio 1-10 @2.53


Utah @ LA Clippers

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

SERIES TIED 2-2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
LA Clippers  Over  Utah
-3.5 196.0  96-92

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
LA Clippers 29-12 22-19
Utah 29-12 22-19

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
LA Clippers 108.7 104.4 +4.3
Utah 100.7 96.8 +3.9

SERIES

GAME 4 Jazz Clippers 105 : 98
GAME 3 Jazz Clippers 106 : 111
GAME 2 Clippers Jazz 99 : 91
GAME 1 Clippers Jazz 95 : 97
26.03.17 Clippers Jazz 108 : 95
14.03.17 Jazz Clippers 114 : 108
14.02.17 Jazz Clippers 72 : 88
31.10.16 Clippers Jazz 88 : 75

The Trends –

  • Total Points Under is 5-1 in the last 6 match-ups at Los Angeles.
  • Utah are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 match-ups in Los Angeles.

Both teams will be arriving to this game with the wheelchairs and crutches ready, and if there is anybody from either team left healthy at the end of this series we should all be happy. Doc’s son Austin will return, but will play limited minutes, with limited impact we’d suggest.

Haywood missed the 2nd half of Game 4 with a bout of food poisoning, leaving it to his lesser mirror image ‘Jingling’ Joe Ingles to seal the game in his place.

Back at Staples and with the Jazz likely looking to chop and change match-ups according to health, we’ll go with the Clippers to take the line.

Picks –

Best Pick: LA Clippers -3.5

Feeling Lucky Pick – First Basket DeAndre Jordan @7.20