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NBA Playoff Picks – Day 16

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly. 

NBA Playoff Picks


Toronto @ Cleveland

EASTERN CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS – GAME 1

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Toronto  Over  Cleveland
+7.0 208.5  116-105

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Cleveland 31-10 20-21
Toronto 28-13 23-18

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Cleveland 110.3 107.2 +3.1
Toronto 106.9 102.6 +4.3

SERIES

13.04.17 Cleveland Toronto 83 : 98
06.12.16 Toronto Cleveland 112 : 116
16.11.16 Cleveland Toronto 121 : 117
29.10.16 Toronto Cleveland 91 : 94

The Trends-

  • No trends worth noting here.

Can’t help but feel as though this is where the King’s men kick into 4th gear. One of the glaring factors in this series could be offensive efficiency, where the Cavs rank 2nd and the Raptors 14th during the post-season. Toronto will have to up this area of their game in this series, because if they lose the ball, it’s going in at the other end.

The Raptors are 1-11 all time in Game 1 of a playoff series. The Cavs are 15-1 against Eastern playoff teams at home dating back to 2015.

Cleveland to take Game 1, however wins for the Cavs in the regular season series haven’t been convincing. Cavs win 1-10.

Picks –

The Best Pick – Total Points Over 208.5 – WIN

Feeling Lucky – Cleveland 1-10 @2.40 – LOSS


Houston @ San Antonio

WESTERN CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS – GAME 1

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Houston  Over  Houston
+6.0 213.0  126-99

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
San Antonio 31-10 30-11
Houston 30-11 25-16

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
San Antonio 105.3 98.1 +7.2
Houston 115.3 109.6 +5.7

SERIES

07.03.17 Spurs Rockets 112 : 110
21.12.16 Rockets Spurs 100 : 102
13.11.16 Rockets Spurs 100 : 106
10.11.16 Spurs Rockets 99 : 101

The Trends-

  • Total Points Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Total Points Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Houston are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

What a series this will be, with the best defensive player in the league in Kawhi (also the best two-way player), and the best offensive in Harden player squaring off (in our opinion).

The rivalry featured four matchups this season, and the Spurs won the final three by a combined 10 points.

Going for an upset tonight, with the Rockets to take the first in this series. We like some value here at The Midfield.

Picks –

Best Pick: Houston +6.0 – WIN

Feeling Lucky Pick – Houston WIN @3.09 – WIN