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8 games tonight, can anybody stop Giannis?

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Confidence levels range from 1-5 stars  

Tonight’s Best Picks

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Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Memphis @ Houston: Over 210.5  

Toronto @ San Antonio: Under 206.0 

Golden State @ Dallas: Golden State -12.5 

 

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Tonight’s NBA Picks

Philadelphia @ Detroit

The Trends –

  • Philadelphia are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Philadelphia are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Philadelphia 0 3 0-1 0-2
Detroit 2 1 1-0 1-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Philadelphia 100.3 116.7 -16.3
Detroit 108.0 104.0 +4.0

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Detroit Over  Philadelphia
 -3.5  214.0 97-86

Spread Confidence = 

Ben Simmons has shown during the first week just why the 76ers made him the #1 pick of the 2016 draft, with back to back double-doubles over the first two. That however still hasn’t translated into any victories for Philly.

“To me, (the stat line) looks great but I’d rather have a win, honestly,” said Simmons, averaging 15.7 points, 10.3 rebounds and 6.0 assists.

Detroit (2-1) is coming off a 111-107 road victory over the Knicks.

Embiid returns for Philly, while the Pistons will be looking to make it 2-0 at their new home court.

Detroit for the win, with the 76ers not far away.

Atlanta @ Miami

The Trends –

  • Atlanta are 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Miami.
  • Atlanta are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Atlanta 1 2 0-0 1-2
Miami 1 1 1-0 0-1

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG  DIFF
Atlanta 104.0 112.0 -8.0
Miami 110.5 112.0 -1.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Miami  Under  Miami
 -9.0  212.5  104-93

Spread Confidence = 

Miami lost their opener but bounced back to win Saturday night against the Pacers.

The Hawks, won its opener but has now lost two in a row, including a Sunday afternoon at the Brooklyn Nets in the midst of a 5-game road trip to start the season. Not an easy task for a rebuilding team.

With leader Schroder (23.3 points and 6.7 assists) listed as questionable, the Hawks will struggle should he sit.

Miami have their own concerns with Whiteside likely to sit for a second straight game.

If Schroder sits, take the line for the Heat, otherwise stay away.

Memphis @ Houston

The Trends –

  • Under is 24-11 in the last 35 meetings in Houston.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Memphis 2 0 2-0 0-0
Houston 3 0 1-0 2-0

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Memphis 107.0 96.0 +11.0
Houston 111.3 104.0 +7.3

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Memphis  Over  Memphis
  +8.0  210.5 98-90

Spread Confidence = 

The Rockets (3-0) survived a grudge match against the reigning champs, won again the next night in Sacramento, then cruised to a comfortable over the Mavs, while CP3 sat on the sidelines.

Memphis are shifting to the pace-and-space model played throughout the league, leaving the “Grit and Grind” style behind.

Memphis to keep it tight, with Overs the best bet.

Charlotte @ Milwaukee

The Trends –

  • Charlotte are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Charlotte 1 1 1-0 0-1
Milwaukee 2 1 1-1 1-0

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Charlotte 99.5 96.5 +3.0
Milwaukee 106.0 108.7 -2.7

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Charlotte Under  Milwaukee
 +6.5  205.0 103-94

Spread Confidence = 

The Hornets should have one thing on their mind tonight…stop Giannis (league best 38.3 ppg).

“I’m going to do whatever it takes for my team to get a win. You know what I’m saying? I don’t have (anything) to lose. I’m going to keep playing hard, keep being humble and keep working on my craft and hopefully, I can be one of the best in the league in the future.”

13 year veteran Dwight Howard is averaging a double-double (15.0 points, 15.0 rebounds) through the first two games, however will need to do much more than that to convince us that he isn’t the biggest waste of size in human history.

Charlotte has won 11 of the last 14 meetings but has dropped two in a row to Milwaukee.

Milwaukee win, but don’t break the line in a close one.

Golden State @ Dallas

The Trends –

  • Golden State are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
  • Golden State are 41-19-1 ATS in the last 61 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Golden State 1 2 0-1 1-1
Dallas 0 3 0-2 0-1

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Golden State 116.7 117.7 -1.0
Dallas 96.7 105.7 -9.0

 

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Golden State Over  Golden State
 -12.5  209.5  133-103

Spread Confidence = 

Whats a scenario you’d more likely believe, Golden State go 1-3 or Dallas defeat the Warriors? Neither.

Toronto @ San Antonio

The Trends –

  • Toronto are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Toronto 2 0 2-0 0-0
San Antonio 2 0 1-0 1-0

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Toronto 122.5 97.0 +25.5
San Antonio 97.0 88.0 +9.0

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
San Antonio Under  San Antonio
 -3.0 206.0 101-97

Spread Confidence = 

It has been almost 10 years since Toronto have defeated the Spurs on the road. Given that they only play there once a season, it is a little inflated but it doesn’t change the fact the Raptors aren’t fond of the AT&T Center. Even without Kawhi, the Spurs still look the goods, given the Raptors have had a pretty lax first two opponents in the Bulls and 76ers.

Washington @ Denver

The Trends –

  • Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Denver.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 2 0 2-0 0-0
Denver 1 1 1-0 0-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Washington 117.5 113.0 +4.5
Denver 96.0 92.5 +3.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Denver Over Washington
 -3.0 222.0  109-104

Spread Confidence = 

At this early period of the season, the home team is usually the best indicator. The Wizards have been impressive in their first two games (at home), although, a road trip to Denver is hard for any team to come away with a victory. Although, Jokic will need to at least score in this game for the Nuggets to remain competitive.

Sacramento @ Phoenix

The Trends –

  • Sacramento are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Sacramento are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Sacramento 1 2 0-1 1-1
Phoenix 0 3 0-2 0-1

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Sacramento 90.7 96.3 -5.7
Phoenix 98 128.7 -30.7

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Sacramento  Over  Phoenix
+1.0  210.0 117-115

Spread Confidence = 

Not even a week in and the Suns have fired their head coach. They didn’t have the best poker face when trying to tank. Bledsoe on twitter isnt keen on hanging around either. Unlike the Kings who are rebuilding too, but with some class.