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7 tonight, Cavs need some sync

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Confidence Range = 1-5 stars  

Tonight’s Best Picks

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

San Antonio @ Indiana: Under 207.0    

Orlando @ Charlotte: Orlando +3.5    

Detroit @ Golden State: Detroit +15.0 

Tonight’s NBA Picks

Milwaukee @ Atlanta

H2H Trends –

  • Milwaukee are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Milwaukee are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Milwaukee 3 2 2-2 1-0
Atlanta 1 5 0-1 1-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Milwaukee 102.0 103.2 -1.2
Atlanta 98.5 106.0 -7.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Milwaukee Under Milwaukee
-5-5 203.5  117-106

Spread Confidence = 

The Greek Freak leads the league with 35.0 ppg and the Bucks are in decent form having won 3 of 5, a loss coming against the Celtics at home last out 96-89.

Atlanta rank 4th in defensive efficiency and we like the Bucks to take this one in a low scoring affair against a Hawks team that runs plays very slowly and may struggle on the boards.

San Antonio @ Indiana

H2H Trends –

  • San Antonio are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • San Antonio are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Indiana.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
San Antonio 4 1 2-0 2-1
Indiana 2 3 1-1 1-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
San Antonio 99.8 97.4 +2.4
Indiana 114.0 115.6 -1.6

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Indiana Under Indiana
+7.0 207.0 97-94

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Spurs were simply outrun against the Magic last out in a 114-87 blowout in Orlando, showing an uncharaterisic lack of defense, letting the Magic shoot 57% from the field.

The Spurs rank 1st in defensive efficiency and at the bottom end in pace. The Unders look great here.

Not willing to play the -7.0.

Denver @ Brooklyn

H2H Trends –

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Denver are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Denver are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Brooklyn.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Denver 2 3 1-1 1-2
Brooklyn 3 3 3-0 0-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Denver 98.8 100.8 -2.0
Brooklyn 115.3 117.3 -2.0

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Denver Over Denver
-4.5 221.5  124-111

 

Spread Confidence = 

Denver’s 4-game road trip continues in Brooklyn. Not touching the line but like the Overs with a Denver team that ranks 2nd last in the league in defensive efficiency.

Go the Overs.

Orlando @ Charlotte

H2H Trends –

  • Orlando are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Orlando 4 1 3-0 1-1
Charlotte 2 3 2-1 0-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Orlando 118.0 107.2 +10.8
Charlotte 99.2 99.6 -0.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Orlando Under Charlotte
+3.5 212.5  120-112

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Magic are in a nice vein of form, with a 5-1 record and wins against big boys Cleveland and a most recent blowout win at home over the Spurs 114-87.

The Hornets are finding it hard offensively, with 99.2 points per game, ranking 23rd in the league. Dwight has finally found a little heart in Charlotte, averaging 17.4 points and 12.7 rebounds.

We like a hot hand at this early stage, and we’ll run with the underdog Magic.

Like the Unders.

Washington @ Sacramento

H2H Trends –

  • Washington are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Sacramento.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 3 2 2-0 1-2
Sacramento 1 4 0-2 1-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Washington 112.0 110.4 +1.6
Sacramento 98.6 104 -5.4

 

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Washington Under Washington
-5.0 208.5 110-83

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Kings have lost 3 straight with a 1-4 record but with a couple night’s rest should be at least fresh enough to put up a fight against a Wizards team that has been ‘oh so close’ in it’s last two games against the Warriors and Lakers.

The talent on the Wizards roster is levels above the rebuilding Kings.

New York @ Cleveland

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
  • New York are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
New York 1 3 1-1 0-2
Cleveland 3 3 2-1 1-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
New York 96.8 103.0 -6.2
Cleveland 106.3 109.5 -3.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
New York Under New York
+9.5 209.0  114-95

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Knicks grabbed their first win of the seaon last out against cross-town rivals Brooklyn, but it will take more than that to give the punters any confidence of an upset tonight against the Cavs, who despite their own troubles, should get over the line.

The Cavs have gone just 1-4 ATS so far, and are struggling to find a line-up they like. The Cavs will win in an ugly affair, not touching this one.

Go the Unders if you must.

Detroit @ Golden State

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Detroit are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Golden State.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Detroit 3 2 2-1 1-1
Golden State 4 2 2-1 2-1

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Detroit 106.4 102.0 +4.4
Golden State 120.0 114.2 +5.8

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Detroit No Pick Detroit
+15.0 TBC 115-107

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Warriors have gone 1-5 ATS so far in 2017/18 and until they find the 5th gear they could switch to over the last few years, we’ll stay clear of any line around -15.0, especially against  a Pistons team that is holding their own.

Not touching this one, we’ll wait for the O/U Points line.