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7 games tonight, Brooklyn v New York the value

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Confidence = 1-5 stars  

Tonight’s Best Picks

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Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Denver @ Atlanta: Denver -5.0  

Brooklyn @ New York: Brooklyn +1.5    

Tonight’s Betting Promotions

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PalmerBe

Promotion – If you back a team which loses the match but leads at the end of 3/4 time, you’ll receive a Bonus matching the value of their first wager up to $100.

Today’s Game – Timberwolves vs OKC

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Promotion – Place a 4+ leg NBA multi and your bet fails by 1 leg get up to $50 back as a Bonus Bet.

William Hill

Promotion – Place a 3+ leg NBA multi and if your multibet misses by one leg, get your stake back up to $50.

NBA Thursday & Friday Games

Tonight’s NBA Picks

Houston @ Charlotte

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Houston 4 1 1-1 3-0
Charlotte 2 2 2-0 0-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Houston 105.8 102.8 +3.0
Charlotte 100.8 97.3 +3.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Houston Under Charlotte
-3.0 211.5 114-87

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, with the most recent on the back of an Eric Gordon buzzer beater to get over the 76ers. Charlotte ranks 6th in points allowed at 97.3 per game, thanks in part to some better rim protection from Dwight Howard. Ariza and Paul continue to sit for the Rockets, who are still managing to rank 2nd in offensive efficiency.

Houston to win and unders.

San Antonio @ Orlando

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • San Antonio are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.
  • San Antonio are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
San Antonio 4 0 2-0 2-0
Orlando 3 1 2-0 1-1

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
San Antonio 103.0 93.3 +9.8
Orlando 119.0 112.3 +6.8

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Spurs Over Orlando
 -5.5 207.0 114-87

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Spurs remain unbeaten and their defense remains elite, holding opponents to 93.3 points. The Hornets are 3-4 to start the season, but will find it tough tonight against a Spurs team that should clean the glass against the 24th ranked rebounding Hornets (Spurs 6th ranked rebounding side).

Spurs to take the line and overs.

Denver @ Atlanta

H2H Trends –

  • Denver are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Denver are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Denver 1 3 1-1 0-2
Atlanta 1 4 0-0 1-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Denver 97.3 101.0 -3.8
Atlanta 98.2 106.2 -8.0

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Denver Under Denver
  -5.0 209.5 105-100

 

Confidence = 

Both teams have started the season poorly and will use this contest to try and suck some confidence out of each other.

Atlanta’s shooting has been poor, but their worries also lie with poor rebounding and post presence, outscored 46-20 in the paint and out-rebounded by the Bulls 62-39, which won’t help against a Denver team ranking 4th in rebounding rate.

Denver to out-rebound and hustle on the way to a W.

Brooklyn @ New York

H2H Trends –

  • Brooklyn are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.
  • Under is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in New York.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Brooklyn 3 2 3-0 0-2
New York 0 3 0-1 0-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Brooklyn 121.2 119.4 +1.8
New York 93.3 108.7 -15.3

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Brooklyn Under New York
+2.5 220.0 107-86

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Nets recent win over the Cavs on Wednesday night should give the boys from Brooklyn enough swagger to get over the line against a Knicks outfit that ranks last in PPG with 93.3.

Porzingis continues to be the shining light with 25.3 ppg, with little else to celebrate in the Big Apple. Despite D’Angelo Russell likely to sit again for the Nets, they should get the job done as underdogs in a sloppy affair.

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota.
  • OKC are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 2 2 2-1 0-1
Minnesota 2 3 1-1 1-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
OKC 104.8 97.8 +7.0
Minnesota 104.4 113.8 -9.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
OKC Over Minnesota
 -1.5 218.0 119-116

 

Spread Confidence = 

OKC lost at home to the TWolves by two points last Sunday, and will be looking for revenge in Minnesota tonight.

The big three of Melo, PG13 and Westbrook are still looking for some cohesion after a 2-2 start, and sharing the ball around would likely be tough with the sticky hands of all three.

Minnesota is averaging 104.4 points and giving up 113.8, and that lack of defense may be just what the Thunder are looking for tonight.

No Jimmy Butler tonight, so even less defense. OKC will win, with plenty of shots to go around, watch for the Overs.

Washington @ Golden State

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 3 1 2-0 1-1
Golden State 3 2 1-1 2-1

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Washington 110.8 108.0 +2.8
Golden State 120.0 113.6 +6.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Washington Under Golden State
 +11.5 230.5 120-117

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Wizards are ranking 5th in PPG, and with the Warriors struggling to cover the spread so far with a 1-3 record ATS, the best bet here could be for J Wall and Beal to keep the game close. That Overs line is also a little inflated, so will stay away from that one.

Best bet the Wizards to cover, but little confidence.

Toronto @ LA Lakers

H2H Trends –

  • Toronto are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Toronto are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Toronto 2 2 2-0 0-2
LA Lakers 2 2 1-2 1-0

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Toronto 113.5 103.0 +10.5
LA Lakers 109.5 114.0 -4.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Toronto Under Toronto
 -6.0 224.0 101-92

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Lakers upset the Wizards in a thrilling overtime win last out, while the Raptors have lost their last two against the Warriors and Spurs.

Lonzo Ball (12 PPG, 9 APG, 9 RPG) is stamping himself as an all around player. but may struggle tonight against Kyle Lowry who should be able to expose him defensively.

Raptors to take this one and push above .500.