NBA free picks against the spread tonight
*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.
Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.
Tonight’s NBA Picks
Houston @ Charlotte
H2H Trends –
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Charlotte.
- Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Houston | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Charlotte | 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Houston | 105.8 | 102.8 | +3.0 |
| Charlotte | 100.8 | 97.3 | +3.5 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Houston | Under | Charlotte |
| -3.0 | 211.5 | 114-87 |
The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, with the most recent on the back of an Eric Gordon buzzer beater to get over the 76ers. Charlotte ranks 6th in points allowed at 97.3 per game, thanks in part to some better rim protection from Dwight Howard. Ariza and Paul continue to sit for the Rockets, who are still managing to rank 2nd in offensive efficiency.
Houston to win and unders.
San Antonio @ Orlando
H2H Trends –
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- San Antonio are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.
- San Antonio are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| San Antonio | 4 | 0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Orlando | 3 | 1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| San Antonio | 103.0 | 93.3 | +9.8 |
| Orlando | 119.0 | 112.3 | +6.8 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Spurs | Over | Orlando |
| -5.5 | 207.0 | 114-87 |
The Spurs remain unbeaten and their defense remains elite, holding opponents to 93.3 points. The Hornets are 3-4 to start the season, but will find it tough tonight against a Spurs team that should clean the glass against the 24th ranked rebounding Hornets (Spurs 6th ranked rebounding side).
Spurs to take the line and overs.
Denver @ Atlanta
H2H Trends –
- Denver are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
- Denver are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
- Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Denver | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Atlanta | 1 | 4 | 0-0 | 1-4 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Denver | 97.3 | 101.0 | -3.8 |
| Atlanta | 98.2 | 106.2 | -8.0 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Denver | Under | Denver |
| -5.0 | 209.5 | 105-100 |
Both teams have started the season poorly and will use this contest to try and suck some confidence out of each other.
Atlanta’s shooting has been poor, but their worries also lie with poor rebounding and post presence, outscored 46-20 in the paint and out-rebounded by the Bulls 62-39, which won’t help against a Denver team ranking 4th in rebounding rate.
Denver to out-rebound and hustle on the way to a W.
Brooklyn @ New York
H2H Trends –
- Brooklyn are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Under is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in New York.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Brooklyn | 3 | 2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| New York | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Brooklyn | 121.2 | 119.4 | +1.8 |
| New York | 93.3 | 108.7 | -15.3 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Brooklyn | Under | New York |
| +2.5 | 220.0 | 107-86 |
The Nets recent win over the Cavs on Wednesday night should give the boys from Brooklyn enough swagger to get over the line against a Knicks outfit that ranks last in PPG with 93.3.
Porzingis continues to be the shining light with 25.3 ppg, with little else to celebrate in the Big Apple. Despite D’Angelo Russell likely to sit again for the Nets, they should get the job done as underdogs in a sloppy affair.
Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
H2H Trends –
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota.
- OKC are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 2 | 2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Minnesota | 2 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| OKC | 104.8 | 97.8 | +7.0 |
| Minnesota | 104.4 | 113.8 | -9.4 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| OKC | Over | Minnesota |
| -1.5 | 218.0 | 119-116 |
OKC lost at home to the TWolves by two points last Sunday, and will be looking for revenge in Minnesota tonight.
The big three of Melo, PG13 and Westbrook are still looking for some cohesion after a 2-2 start, and sharing the ball around would likely be tough with the sticky hands of all three.
Minnesota is averaging 104.4 points and giving up 113.8, and that lack of defense may be just what the Thunder are looking for tonight.
No Jimmy Butler tonight, so even less defense. OKC will win, with plenty of shots to go around, watch for the Overs.
Washington @ Golden State
H2H Trends –
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Washington | 3 | 1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Golden State | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Washington | 110.8 | 108.0 | +2.8 |
| Golden State | 120.0 | 113.6 | +6.4 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Washington | Under | Golden State |
| +11.5 | 230.5 | 120-117 |
The Wizards are ranking 5th in PPG, and with the Warriors struggling to cover the spread so far with a 1-3 record ATS, the best bet here could be for J Wall and Beal to keep the game close. That Overs line is also a little inflated, so will stay away from that one.
Best bet the Wizards to cover, but little confidence.
Toronto @ LA Lakers
H2H Trends –
- Toronto are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Toronto are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Toronto | 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| LA Lakers | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Toronto | 113.5 | 103.0 | +10.5 |
| LA Lakers | 109.5 | 114.0 | -4.5 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Toronto | Under | Toronto |
| -6.0 | 224.0 | 101-92 |
The Lakers upset the Wizards in a thrilling overtime win last out, while the Raptors have lost their last two against the Warriors and Spurs.
Lonzo Ball (12 PPG, 9 APG, 9 RPG) is stamping himself as an all around player. but may struggle tonight against Kyle Lowry who should be able to expose him defensively.
Raptors to take this one and push above .500.
