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5 tonight, OKC with the sticky hands…

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

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Season Record: ATS – 83-74 | Total Points – 87-65

Confidence Range = 1-5 stars  

H2H = Head to Head/Moneyline

Tonight’s Best Picks

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Philadelphia @ Sacramento: Philadelphia H2H  

Cleveland @ Houston: Over 228.0  

OKC @ Denver: Denver H2H

 

Tonight’s NBA Picks

LA Lakers @ Washington

H2H Trends –

  • LA Lakers are 12-4-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Washington.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 5 5 2-3 3-2
LA Lakers 5 6 4-3 1-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Washington 111.4 109.6 +1.80
La Lakers 105.5 107.3 -1.70

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Washington  Under  Washington
 -10.5  221.0  111-95

This is the 2nd night of a B2B for the young Lakers who faded down the stretch last night against the Celtics in a 107-96 loss. On a side note I don’t think I’ve seen anybody look as disinterested as Lonzo did last night in the warm up, and I work with some dull people (considering he went 4-15, maybe he was just distracted by the news about his bro LiAngelo snatching purses over in China).

Washington has allowed an average of 121.7 points in the three straight home losses and although they will get the W, that line’s a little high. We’ll take it over the Lakers cover though. Reduced confidence however. Washington has declared their need to focus more on defense, so expect a little more D from the Wizards here.

On a side-note Lonzo Ball has quietly gone 10-45 from the floor over a four game stretch.

Best Bet – Total Points Under 221.0 

New Orleans @ Toronto

H2H Trends –

  • New Orleans are 3-11-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Toronto 6 4 3-1 3-3
New Orleans 6 5 1-3 5-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Toronto 108.9 103.9 +5.0
New Orleans 106.3 106.2 +0.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Toronto  Under Toronto
 -5.0  214.5  122-118

New Orleans have won their first 3 games on their 4-game road trip, pushing them to a single win over .500.

Like this one to go Unders, with both teams ranking in the top 10 for defensive efficiency.

Toronto at the line and Unders.

Best Bet – Under 214.5 

Cleveland @ Houston

H2H Trends –

  • Cleveland are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Houston.
  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Houston.
  • Cleveland are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Houston 8 3 2-2 6-1
Cleveland 5 6 3-4 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Houston 109.9 103.3 +6.6
Cleveland 109.9 113.9 -4.0

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Houston  Over  Houston
 -5.5  228.0  117-113

The Cavs are currently a game below .500 and the absence of Uncle Drew is showing with the patchwork quilt in Cleveland seemingly a jumbled mess. Ranking 22nd in defensive efficiency they will need to get their shit together and quick to contend at the pointy end of the season.

The return of CP3 will come soon, but the Rockets are currently doing just fine without him having gone 8-3 so far.

This should be a shootout. Overs all the way.

On another side note – LeBron will pass Michael Jordan (1,072) on the career list for games played on Thursday.

Best Bet – Over 228.0 

Philadelphia @ Sacramento

H2H Trends –

  • Philadelphia are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Philadelphia are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Sacramento 2 8 1-3 1-5
Philadelphia 6 4 2-2 4-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Sacramento 93.8 103.8 -10.0
Philadelphia 107.3 107.4 -0.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Philadelphia  Under  Sacramento
 -6.5  205.0  109-108

Two young squads clash tonight, with the 76ers and the GOAT (tongue in cheek…) Ben Simmons showing us what we missed last year, currently tearing it up with 17.8 ppg, 10.1 rpg and 8.0 apg. However, despite their current form, the 76ers still rank last in offensive efficiency and last in turnover ratio.

Embiid should return following a 5 day absence, and that should only help to defeat the lowly Kings.

Ride the terrible form of Sac until they find some life. Unders probably the better bet.

Best Bet – Philadelphia H2H  

OKC @ Denver

H2H Trends –

  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
  • OKC are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • OKC are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Denver 6 5 4-2 2-3
OKC 4 6 2-2 2-4

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Denver 106.5 106.1 +0.5
OKC 102.5 96.8 +5.7

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Denver  Under  Denver
 +1.5  215.0  102-94

OKC have been underwhelming so far in 2017/18 and the slow, sticky offense of the big three has bored and frustrated us at times. Having lost the first 2 on this road-trip, travelling to the altitude of Denver must be a focus when punting here.

After losing last out to the god-awful Kings, we put little faith in OKC to bounce back here on one of the toughest road trips out there.

Carmelo Anthony, Russell Westbrook and Paul George are all averaging an even 21 points per game, which in some ways probably plays into some verbal agreement made before the season that nobody shall outshine the other.

We’ll take Denver at home H2H, with Unders the best bet.

Best Bet – Denver +1.5  & Under 215.0