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3 NBA free picks tonight, Warriors v Miami could get ugly

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

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Season Record: ATS – 71-68 | Total Points – 78-57

Confidence Key = 1-5 stars  

Tonight’s Best Picks

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Boston @ Atlanta: Boston -8.0  

Tonight’s NBA Picks

Boston @ Atlanta

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Boston are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 8 2 3-1 5-1
Atlanta 2 8 0-3 2-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Boston 102.9 93.2 +9.7
Atlanta 102.7 110.6 -7.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Boston  Under  Boston
 -8.0  205.0  110-107

Spread Confidence = 

Total Points Confidence = 

Boston have the best record in the league and are fairing well following the loss of Hayward and THAT injury, *shudder. On an 8 game win streak the Celtics enter this one with some swagger, and rightly so against a Hawks team that just can’t get it done, with a 2-8 record (win-less at home).

Most impressive about the Celts has been their defense allowing just 93.2 ppg. The Celtics have also out-rebounded their opponent six straight times.

Atlanta did well taking down the Cavs last out, but will struggle tonight against the league’s in-form team.

Brooklyn @ Phoenix

H2H Trends –

  • Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Brooklyn are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Brooklyn 3 6 3-2 0-4
Phoenix 4 6 2-2 2-4

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Brooklyn 114.3 119.3 -5.0
Phoenix 106.1 116.5 -10.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Brooklyn  Under  Brooklyn
 -1.0  235.5  98-92

 

Spread Confidence = 

Total Points Confidence = 

The Nets will try to get back on the winners list after losing four in a row.

Phoenix used a 24-8 run in the final 7 minutes to beat the Nets 122-114 in Brooklyn, the second stop of a five-game road trip and to be honest this one looks like a NO BET for the smart punters.

The total points is sky-high and the line is too skinny. Stay away.

Miami @ Golden State

H2H Trends –

  • Miami are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Miami are 3-0-2 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Miami 4 5 3-3 1-2
Golden State 7 3 2-2 5-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Miami 103.6 104.7 -1.1
Golden State 120.7 111.3 +9.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Golden State  Over  Golden State
 -16.5  227.0  97-80

 

Spread Confidence = 

Total Points Confidence = 

The Warriors start a 4 game home stand tonight against the Heat who are on a B2B and their third game on the road.

Last time these two met back in January Dion Waiters hit a buzzer beater that stole the hearts of the Warriors and the money from the punters all around the world.

Following an 8 point shock loss to the Pistons in their last home game on Oct. 29th, Golden State shrugged off the Los Angeles Clippers, San Antonio and Denver by an average of 22.3 points,  three teams likely to be near the top of the Western Conference come finals time.
The Warriors rank #1 in offensive efficiency and should make easy goings of the Heat tonight, that line though… sheesh.