2018’s First Full Card. Let’s do this.

nba picks and parlays

*Original NBA betting markets taken game morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly.


Tonight’s NBA Picks

Milwaukee @ Charlotte

H2H Trends

Bucks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Charlotte.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Roster Changes

Bucks Roster Changes

IN – Pat Connaughton (POR), Donte DiVincenzo (R), Trevon Duval (R), Tim Frazier (WAS), Ersan Ilyasova(PHI), Brook Lopez (LAL), Jaylen Morris (ATL), Christian Wood.

OUT – Brandon Jennings, Shabazz Muhammad, Xavier Munford, Jabari Parker (CHI), Marshall Plumlee, Jason Terry.

Hornets Roster Changes

IN – Bismack Biyombo (ORL), Miles Bridges (R), Joe Chealey (R), Devonte’ Graham (R), J.P. Macura (R), Tony Parker (SAS).

OUT – Michael Carter-Williams (HOU), Treveon Graham (BKN), Dwight Howard (WAS), Mangok Mathiang, Marcus Paige, Julyan Stone.

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Milwaukee Under Milwaukee
-2.0 221.0 113-112

The Bucks and Hornets both welcome new coaches after a disappointing 2017/18. Like the Bucks to take this one at -2.0 with Giannis to begin his MVP campaign.

Best Bet  = Milwaukee WIN


Memphis @ Indiana

H2H Trends

Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.

Roster Changes

Pacers Roster Changes

IN – Tyreke Evans (MEM), Aaron Holiday (R), Alize Johnson (R), Doug McDermott (DAL), Kyle O’Quinn (NYK).

OUT – Trevor Booker, Al Jefferson, Alex Poythress (ATL), Glenn Robinson III (DET), Lance Stephenson (LAL), Joseph Young.

Grizzlies Roster Changes

IN – Kyle Anderson (SAS), Jevon Carter (R), Omri Casspi, Jaren Jackson Jr. (R), Shelvin Mack (ORL), D.J. Stephens, Garrett Temple (SAC), Yuta Watanabe (R).

OUT – Mario Chalmers, Deyonta Davis, Tyreke Evans (IND), Myke Henry, Omari Johnson, Jarell Martin (ORL), Ben McLemore (SAC), Kobi Simmons.

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Indiana Over Indiana
-6.5 205.0 111-83

The Grizzlies have shaken up their roster and Tyreke Evans returns to Memphis for his first outing. Like the Pacers to win, but the -6.5 is a little high.

Best Bet = NO BET


Miami @ Orlando

H2H Trends

Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Over is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings in Orlando.
Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Roster Changes

Heat Roster Changes

IN – Yante Maten (R), Duncan Robinson (R).

OUT – Luke Babbitt, Jordan Mickey, Derrick Walton (CHI).

Magic Roster Changes

IN – Mohamed Bamba (R), Isaiah Briscoe (R), Troy Caupain (R), Melvin Frazier (R), Jerian Grant (CHI), Amile Jefferson (R), Jarell Martin (MEM), Timofey Mozgov (BKN).

OUT – Arron Afflalo, Jamel Artis, Bismack Biyombo (CHA), Mario Hezonja (NYK), Shelvin Mack (MEM), Rodney Purvis, Marreese Speights.

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Mia Under Orlando
-2.5 209.0 104-101

The D-Wade farewell tour begins tonight with the start of his 14th season, with the Heat still having the hope of pulling in Jimmy Butler. Orlando welcome new coach Steve Clifford after he was let go after 5 seasons in Charlotte.

Tough one to pick, best to stay away.

Best Bet  = NO BET


Brooklyn @ Detroit

H2H Trends

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Nets are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
Nets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Detroit

Roster Changes

Nets Roster Changes

IN – Ed Davis (POR), Jared Dudley (PHX), Kenneth Faried (DEN), Treveon Graham (CHA), Rodions Kurucs (R), Dzanan Musa (R), Shabazz Napier (POR), Theo Pinson (R), Alan Williams (PHX).

OUT – Quincy Acy, Dante Cunningham (SAS), Milton Doyle, Jeremy Lin (ATL), Timofey Mozgov (ORL), Jahlil Okafor (NOP), Nik Stauskas (POR), James Webb, Isaiah Whitehead.

Pistons Roster Changes

IN – Bruce Brown (R), José Manuel Calderón (CLE), Keenan Evans (R), Zaza Pachulia (GSW), Glenn Robinson III (IND), Khyri Thomas (R).

OUT – Dwight Buycks, James Ennis (HOU), Kay Felder, Eric Moreland, Jameer Nelson, Anthony Tolliver (MIN).

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Detroit Under Detroit
-5.0 212.0 103-100

Stan Van Gundy leaves the Pistons after doing very little, and Dwane Casey takes over after taking the Raptors to a 59 win season last year.

Predicting a low scoring affair, with the 212.0 looking unders.

Best Bet = Under 212.0


Cleveland @ Toronto

H2H Trends

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
Cavaliers are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.
Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Roster Changes

Cavs Roster Changes

IN – Sam Dekker (LAC), Channing Frye (LAL), David Nwaba (CHI), Billy Preston (R), Collin Sexton (R).

OUT – José Manuel Calderón (DET), Jeff Green (WAS), LeBron James (LAL), Kendrick Perkins, London Perrantes, Okaro White.

Raptors Roster Changes

IN – Chris Boucher (GSW), Danny Green (SAS), Kawhi Leonard (SAS), Jordan Loyd (R), Greg Monroe (BOS).

OUT – DeMar DeRozan (SAS), Alfonzo McKinnie (GSW), Malcolm Miller, Lucas Nogueira, Jakob Pöltl (SAS).

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Cleveland Over Toronto
+12.0 215.5 116-104

This would have been a game to watch 12 months ago, tonight not so much.

Looking forward to the Drake/Kawhi love fest, however that line’s just too high.

The Raps welcome Kawhi and Greg Monroe and should get in done tonight.

Best Bet  = Under 215.5


Atlanta @ New York

H2H Trends

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Roster Changes

Hawks Roster Changes

IN – Jaylen Adams (R), Justin Anderson (PHI), Vince Carter (SAC), Daniel Hamilton (OKC), Kevin Huerter (R), Alex Len (PHX), Jeremy Lin (BKN), Alex Poythress (IND), Omari Spellman (R), Trae Young (R).

OUT – Tyler Cavanaugh (UTA), Antonius Cleveland (CHI), Malcolm Delaney, Damion Lee (GSW), Josh Magette, Jaylen Morris (MIL), Mike Muscala (PHI), Dennis Schröder (OKC), Isaiah Taylor, Andrew White.

Knicks Roster Changes

IN – Kadeem Allen (BOS), Mario Hezonja (ORL), Kevin Knox (R), Mitchell Robinson (R), Allonzo Trier (R), Noah Vonleh (CHI).

OUT – Michael Beasley (LAL), Jarrett Jack, Joakim Noah, Kyle O’Quinn (IND), Troy Williams (NOP).

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
New York Under New York
-3.0 215.5 126-107

Porzingis is doubtful for the opener while the Hawks hinge their hopes on rookie Trae Young. Knicks to open their account with a win. (Vince Carter still going at 41, keep getting them checks Vince).

Best Bet =  New York -3.0


New Orleans @ Houston

H2H Trends

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
Under is 37-16-1 in the last 54 meetings.

Roster Changes

Pelicans Roster Changes

IN – Trevon Bluiett (R), Wesley Johnson (LAC), Jahlil Okafor (BKN), Elfrid Payton (PHX), Julius Randle (LAL), Kenrich Williams (R), Troy Williams (NYK).

OUT – Alexis Ajinca, Charles Cooke, DeMarcus Cousins (GSW), Jordan Crawford, DeAndre Liggins, Emeka Okafor, Rajon Rondo (LAL).

Rockets Roster Changes

IN – Carmelo Anthony (OKC), Bruno Caboclo (SAC), Michael Carter-Williams (CHA), Marquese Chriss (PHX), Gary Clark (R), Vincent Edwards (R), James Ennis (DET), Isaiah Hartenstein (R), Brandon Knight (PHX).

OUT – Ryan Anderson (PHX), Trevor Ariza (PHX), Tarik Black, Markel Brown, R.J. Hunter, Aaron Jackson, Joe Johnson, Luc Mbah a Moute (LAC), Chinanu Onuaku.

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Houston Under New Orleans
-7.5 232.0 131-112

Houston welcome the Carmelo curse while the Pelicans welcome Julius Randle, a favorite of ours.

Like the Rockets -7.5 in the opener.

Best Bet  =  Houston WIN


Minnesota @ San Antonio

H2H Trends

Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
Timberwolves are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

Roster Changes

T-Wolves Roster Changes

IN – Keita Bates-Diop (R), Luol Deng (LAL), Darius Johnson-Odom, James Nunnally, Josh Okogie (R), Jared Terrell (R), Anthony Tolliver (DET), C.J. Williams (LAC).

OUT – Cole Aldrich, Nemanja Bjelica (SAC), Aaron Brooks, Anthony Brown, Jamal Crawford, Marcus Georges-Hunt, Amile Jefferson (ORL).

Spurs Roster Changes

IN – Marco Belinelli (PHI), Dante Cunningham (BKN), DeMar DeRozan (TOR), Drew Eubanks (R), Chimezie Metu (R), Jakob Pöltl (TOR), Quincy Pondexter, Lonnie Walker (R).

OUT – Kyle Anderson (MEM), Matt Costello, Manu Ginóbili, Danny Green (TOR), Darrun Hilliard, Joffrey Lauvergne, Kawhi Leonard (TOR), Tony Parker (CHA), Brandon Paul.

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Minnesota Over San Antonio
+2.5 210.5 112-108

The T-Wolves are seemingly a mess, with Jimmy Butler bedding a team mates girlfriend, leading to locker room drama.

Even with the drama, like the T-Wolves to take the line. Spurs are limited.

Unders best.

Best Bet = Over 210.5


Utah @ Sacramento

H2H Trends

Jazz are 8-17-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

Roster Changes

Jazz Roster Changes

IN – Grayson Allen (R), Tyler Cavanaugh (ATL), Naz Mitrou-Long.

OUT – Jonas Jerebko (GSW), Erik McCree, David Stockton.

Kings Roster Changes

IN – Marvin Bagley III (R), Nemanja Bjelica (MIN), Yogi Ferrell (DAL), Wenyen Gabriel (R), Ben McLemore(MEM).

OUT – Bruno Caboclo (HOU), Vince Carter (ATL), Jack Cooley, Nigel Hayes, JaKarr Sampson (CHI), Garrett Temple (MEM).

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Utah Over Utah
-8.0 204.0 123-117

Can’t go past the Jazz here, even with the -8.0.

Best Bet = Utah WIN


Dallas @ Phoenix

H2H Trends

Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Phoenix.

Roster Changes

Mavs Roster Changes

IN – Kostas Antetokounmpo (R), Ryan Broekhoff (R), Jalen Brunson (R), Luka Doncic (R), Devin Harris (DEN), DeAndre Jordan (LAC), Daryl Macon (R), Ray Spalding (R).

OUT – Kyle Collinsworth, Seth Curry (POR), Yogi Ferrell (SAC), Aaron Harrison, Doug McDermott (IND), Johnathan Motley (LAC), Nerlens Noel (OKC).

Suns Roster Changes

IN – Ryan Anderson (HOU), Trevor Ariza (HOU), Darrell Arthur (DEN), Deandre Ayton (R), Mikal Bridges (R), Isaiah Canaan, Richaun Holmes (PHI), George King (R), De’Anthony Melton (R), Élie Okobo (R).

OUT – Marquese Chriss (HOU), Jared Dudley (BKN), Danuel House, Brandon Knight (HOU), Alex Len (ATL), Elfrid Payton (NOP), Alec Peters, Tyler Ulis, Alan Williams (BKN).

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
Phoenix Under Phoenix
-1.0 214.5 121-100

Phoenix center Deandre Ayton is expected to be an impact player after being the 1st pick of the draft, while Dallas is all in on guard Luka Doncic, the 3rd overall pick who was acquired from Atlanta in a draft-night trade.

Unders best tonight, but get on Doncic for ROY.

Best Bet = NO BET


Denver @ LA Clippers

H2H Trends

Under is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.

Roster Changes

Nuggets Roster Changes

IN – DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell (R), Michael Porter Jr. (R), Isaiah Thomas (LAL), Jarred Vanderbilt (R), Thomas Welsh (R).

OUT – Darrell Arthur (PHX), Wilson Chandler (PHI), Kenneth Faried (BKN), Devin Harris (DAL), Richard Jefferson.

Clippers Roster Changes

IN – Ángel Delgado (R), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (R), Marcin Gortat (WAS), Luc Mbah a Moute (HOU), Johnathan Motley (DAL), Jerome Robinson (R), Mike Scott (WAS).

OUT – Sam Dekker (CLE), DeAndre Jordan (DAL), Austin Rivers (WAS), C.J. Williams (MIN).

Picks against the spread

 Spread Points   Result
LA Clippers Under Denver
+1.5 226.0 121-100

Los Angeles has moved on from the Lob-City era of Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan.

Clippers should have enough to get over the Nuggets away from the thin Denver air.

Best Bet = LA Cippers +1.5