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NBA Playoff Picks – Day 10


*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly. 

NBA Playoff Betting Tips


Milwaukee @ Toronto

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

SERIES TIED 2-2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Milwaukee  Over  Toronto
+6.0 191.5 118-93

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Toronto 28-13 23-18
Milwaukee 23-18 19-22

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Toronto 106.9 102.6 +4.3
Milwaukee 103.6 103.8 -0.2

SERIES

GAME 4 Milwaukee Toronto+ 76 : 87
GAME 3 Milwaukee+ Toronto 104 : 77
GAME 2 Toronto+ Milwaukee 106 : 100
GAME 1 Toronto Milwaukee+ 83 : 97
05.03.17 Milwaukee+ Toronto 101 : 94
28.01.17 Toronto+ Milwaukee 102 : 86
13.12.16 Toronto+ Milwaukee 122 : 100
26.11.16 Milwaukee Toronto+ 99 : 105

The Trends-

  • Total Points Under is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.
  • Milwaukee are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.
  • Total Points Under is 5-2 in the last 7 matchups in Toronto.
  • Milwaukee are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Toronto are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

After being pantsed in Game 3, Toronto made adjustments both in strategy and attitude in Game 4 to even the series 2-2 with an 87-76 victory.

The Bucks committed 21 turnovers in Game 4, 7 of which came from Giannis, who also had a stinker with his shot.

Like the Raptors to take this one, that line’s a tad high for us though with the Bucks doing well against the spread. Straight up win.

Picks –

Best Pick  – Nope.

Feeling Lucky – Total Points Over 191.5 – WIN


Washington @ Atlanta

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 4

WIZARDS LEAD 2-1

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Washington  Over  Atlanta
+2.5 211.5 111-101

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Washington 30-11 19-22
Atlanta 23-18 20-21

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Washington 109.2 107.4 +1.8
Atlanta 103.2 104.0 -0.8

SERIES

GAME 3 Hawks+ Wizards 116 : 98
GAME 2 Wizards+ Hawks 109 : 101
GAME 1 Wizards+ Hawks 114 : 107
23.03.17 Wizards+ Hawks 104 : 100
28.01.17 Hawks Wizards+ 86 : 112
05.11.16 Wizards+ Hawks 95 : 92
28.10.16 Hawks+ Wizards 114 : 99

The Trends –

  • Total Points Over is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups in Atlanta.

The Hawks took Game 3 in convincing fashion, with Millsap responding to Markief Morris’ taunts of being soft with a dominant 29 point, 14 rebound display.

The Wizards will try to guard Schroder a little closer this time around, and the Hawks would be thinking the same way around John Wall.

This is the toughest of the night, but we’ll take the line for the Wizards.

Picks –

Best Pick – Washington +2.5

Feeling Lucky – Washington WIN @2.17


Golden State @ Portland

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 4

GOLDEN STATE LEAD 3-0

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Golden State  Over  Golden State
-7.0 220.0  128-103

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Golden State 36-5 31-10
Portland 25-16 16-25

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Golden State 115.9 104.3 +11.6
Portland 107.9 108.5 -0.6

SERIES

GAME 3 Portland Warriors+ 113 : 119
GAME 2 Warriors+ Portland 110 : 81
GAME 1 Warriors+ Portland 121 : 109
30.01.17 Portland Warriors+ 111 : 113
05.01.17 Warriors+ Portland 125 : 117
18.12.16 Warriors+ Portland 135 : 90
02.11.16 Portland Warriors+ 104 : 127

The Trends –

  • Total Points Over is 7-1 in the last 8 matchups in Portland.
  • Total Points Over is 20-7 in the last 27 matchups.
  • Golden State are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 matchups in Portland.
  • Golden State are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

Did somebody say sweep?

Despite the in-n-out Durant, and the absence of Livingston and Matt Barnes during this series, the Warriors are doing what they do.

The Warriors got another solid performance for “Shaqtin a Fool” regular JaVale McGee, who scored 14 points on 6-for-8 shooting, with 4 rebounds in 16 minutes. McGee has made 16 of 19 shots in the series and is averaging 11.7 points and 4.7 rebounds in just 13 minutes per game.

The best bet in this one is the Overs for us, with a win uncertain, but the line goes to the Blazers.

Picks –

Best Pick – Total Points Over 220.0 – TONIGHT’S BEST PICK – WIN

Feeling Lucky – Portland +7.0 – LOSS