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10 tonight, the season’s starting to take some shape

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

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Season Record: ATS – 73-68 | Total Points – 79-59

Confidence = 1-5 stars  

Tonight’s Best Picks

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Chicago @ Toronto:  Over 200.5  

LA Clippers @ San Antonio: Over 201.0

OKC @ Sacramento: Over 204.5 

Memphis @ Portland: Over 203.0 

Tonight’s NBA Picks

Milwaukee @ Cleveland

H2H Trends –

  • Over is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Cleveland 4 6 2-4 2-2
Milwaukee 4 5 2-3 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Cleveland 108.5 113.4 -4.9
Milwaukee 103.9 107.0 -3.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Milwaukee  Under  Cleveland
 +4.0  219.5  124-119

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence = 

The Cavs are still trying to figure shit out and Lebron’s shoulders must be getting sore from carrying the team. He shouldn’t have to be scoring 57 to get them over the line. Super-friend D-Wade brought out 25 points and 11 rebounds last out, his best of the season so far.

The Cavs have take the last 4 in this series, but liking the Bucks at the line.

Kevin Love (illness) was released from the hospital and is listed as day-to-day.

New Orleans @ Indiana

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Indiana.
  • New Orleans are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Indiana 5 5 3-1 2-4
New Orleans 5 5 1-3 4-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Indiana 110.3 109.1 +1.2
New Orleans 105.2 105.6 -0.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Indiana  Over New Orleans
 -1.0  218.0  117-112

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence = 

The Pelicans rank 9th in defensive efficiency, while the Pacers rank 21st in that category. Indiana will need to find a way to keep Cousins and Davis off the glass, although minutes may be an issue for the twin-towers of New Orleans with each logging 40+ minutes over the last 4 outings.

Indiana at home, overs the better bet with defense lacking.

Dallas @ Washington

H2H Trends –

  • Dallas are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Dallas are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 5 4 2-2 3-2
Dallas 1 10 1-5 0-5

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Washington 112.8 109.2 +3.6
Dallas 97.9 107.8 -9.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Washington  Dallas
 -10.0  TBC  113-119

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence = TBC

Washington rank 3rd in offensive efficiency, while the Mavericks own the 3rd worst offense in the league. Loving the Wizards this year and even with Wall a possibility to sit (shoudler) we’re all over Washington here.

Dallas took both meetings last season and 13 of the last 14 in the series, but that won’t continue tonight.

Washington at the line.

Charlotte @ New york

H2H Trends –

  • Over is 13-3-2 in the last 18 meetings.
  • Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in New York.
  • Charlotte are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
New York 5 4 4-2 1-2
Charlotte 5 5 4-1 1-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
New York 104.7 104.9 -0.2
Charlotte 104.1 105.1 -1.0

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 New York  Over  New York
 -1.0  209.5  118-113

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence = TBC

If you’re not already aboard the Porzingis train it’s too late, it left around 3 days ago. But there’s still time to jump on the Knicks train…

Porzingis is averaging 33.5 points this season, and we like the Knicks to get it done at home here.

Porzingis vs Dwight the main draw-card.

Chicago @ Toronto

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Toronto 5 4 2-1 3-3
Chicago 2 6 1-3 1-3

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Toronto 107.8 102.8 +5.0
Chicago 91.9 98.3 -6.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Chicago  Over  Toronto
 +11.0  200.5  119-114

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence =

Chicago have been woeful offensively, averaging just 91.9 points per game,  30th in the NBA rankings. While the Raptors rank a league worst in 3-point%, it pails in comparison to what the Bulls have been dishing up.

Toronto H2H, but that line’s a little high.

LA Clippers @ San Antonio

H2H Trends –

  • Phoenix are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
San Antonio 6 4 4-1 2-3
LA Clippers 5 4 3-4 2-0

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
San Antonio 99.9 100.0 -0.1
LA Clippers 107.6 102.0 +5.6

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 San Antonio  Over  San Antonio
 -3.5  201.0  120-107

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence =

The Clippers’ hot start is a thing of the past after 4 losses in the last 5 games (all at home). With 8 of the next 9 games on the road, things won’t be getting any easier.

In Pop we trust, and with the Clipper seemingly out of sorts, we’ll take the Spurs who have hit a little form and are always solid at worst.

Love the Overs here.

Brooklyn @ Denver

H2h Trends –

  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Brooklyn are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Brooklyn are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Denver 5 5 3-2 2-3
Brooklyn 4 6 3-2 1-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Denver 106.0 106.3 -0.3
Brooklyn 112.7 116.6 -3.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Denver  Under  Denver
 -11.5  233.0  112-104

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence = 

Brooklyn are 2nd in the league in scoring at 114.3 points per game and dead last defensively, giving up a whopping 119.3 per game.

Despite some recent from from the Nets, cannot see anything other than a Nuggets W here. That altitude is tough for visitors.

Like Denver to cover at home, with Unders the better bet.

Philadelphia @ Utah

H2h Trends –

  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Philadelphia are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Utah.
  • Philadelphia are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Utah 5 5 5-1 0-4
Philadelphia 5 4 2-2 3-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Utah Jazz 99.3 100.1 -0.8
Philadelphia 107.7 108.6 -0.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Philadelphia  Under  Philadelphia
 +7.0  204.5  104-97

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence = 

Philly has won 4 in a row, the last a buzzer-beater at home.

The Utah defense is once again strong, but it better be because their offense is once again sub-elite. Utah is 6th in the league in defense, holding teams to 100.1 points, butin contrast arer 27th on offense at 99.3 points per game.

The 76ers have good ATS this year at 7-2 and we’ll ride that here, to just hold onto the line.

Memphis @ Portland

H2h Trends –

  • Memphis are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Portland 6 4 4-2 2-2
Memphis 6 4 4-2 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Portland 107.2 100.9 +6.3
Memphis 101.8 98.1 +3.7

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Portland  Over  Memphis
 -4.0  203.0  98-97

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence = 

That line’s just skinny enough to be tempting, but also dangerous with the recent H2H spread results.

The best bet is the Overs here, and it will be in our best bets.

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento

H2h Trends –

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Sacramento 1 8 0-3 1-5
OKC 4 5 2-2 2-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Sacramento 93.8 105.8 -12.0
OKC 104.3 97.1 +7.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Sacramento  Over  Sacramento
 +10.0  204.5  94-86

Spread Confidence = 

O/U Confidence =

OKC comes into this having lost back-to-back games, while the Kings have gone a level further having dropped their last seven.

Although we love the new Thunder, and their defense is elite, we cannot trust them enough to take a double figure line.

Overs the better bet.