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11 NBA picks and a parlay tonight

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

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Season Record: ATS – 86-82 | Total Points – 93-72

Confidence = 1-5 stars  

Tonight’s Parlay

Tonight's Parlay - CLICK HERE

Tonight's Parlay - CLICK HERE

Memphis @ Houston:  Houston H2H  

Cleveland @ Dallas: Cleveland H2H 

LA Lakers @ Milwaukee: Milwaukee H2H 

Brooklyn @ Utah: Under 210.0 

Tonight’s NBA Picks

LA Clippers @ New Orleans

H2H Trends –

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • LA Clippers are 5-16 ATS in the last 21 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Over is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in New Orleans.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LA Clippers 5 6 3-4 2-2
New Orleans 6 6 1-3 5-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
LA Clippers 107.8 105.3 +2.5
New Orleans 107.3 107.5 -0.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
LA Clippers  Over  New Orleans
 +6.5  213.5  111-103

The Clippers rank 20th in defensive efficiency and the Pelicans rank 7th in tempo of play. Like the Overs, H2H is dangerous.

Best Bet  =  Over 213.5  

Atlanta @ Washington

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Atlanta 2 10 0-4 2-6
Washington 6 5 3-3 3-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Atlanta 103.2 110.6 -7.4
Washington 111.4 108.3 +3.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Atlanta  Over  Washington
 +10.5  220.5  113-94

Both the Hawks and Wizards rank top ten in tempo and the Wizards rank 8th in offensive efficiency. Like the Overs.

Will stay clear of the line.

Best Bet  = Over 220.5 

Memphis @ Houston

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 25-11 in the last 36 meetings in Houston

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Memphis 7 4 4-2 3-2
Houston 9 3 3-2 6-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Memphis 101.5 98.0 +3.5
Houston 110.5 104.1 +6.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Houston  Over  Houston
 -6.0  209.5  111-96

Best Bet  = Houston H2H 

Memphis rank 3rd in offensive efficiency and the Rockets rank 2nd in offensive efficiency so like the Overs here again. Seems to be  the trend of the night, even with Under 25-11 in the last 36 meetings in Houston.

Houston at home the best bet.

Sacramento @ New York

H2H Trends –

  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
  • Cavaliers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Sacramento 3 8 2-3 1-5
New York 6 5 5-2 1-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Sacramento 95.2 104.2 -9.0
New York 105.4 106.3 -0.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 New York  Over  New York
 -5.0  204.5  118-91

Best Bet  = Over 205.5 

Sac start a 3 game road trip tonight. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and we will roll with them in a close one.

As a betting man, I’m staying miles away from this one…

Cleveland @ Dallas

H2H Trends –

  • Cleveland are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
  • Cleveland are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Cleveland 5 7 3-4 2-3
Dallas 2 10 1-5 1-5

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Cleveland 110.2 114.2 -4.0
Dallas 99.2 107.1 -7.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Cleveland  Under  Cleveland
 -5.5  218.0  111-104

Best Bet  = Cleveland – 5.5  

Cleveland will get their shit together against Dallas, they just have to. The difference in ability here is miles apart.

If Cavs lose this I’m done with NBA forever…

Lebron rolled his ankle last out so may be minute restrictions.

Philadelphia @ Golden State

H2H Trends –

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Orlando are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Denver.
  • Orlando are 5-11-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Philadelphia 6 5 2-2 4-3
Golden State 9 3 4-2 5-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Philadelphia 107.4 107.5 -0.2
Golden State 119.1 107.8 +11.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Philadelphia  Under  Golden State
 +14.0  230.0  135-114

Best Bet  = Philadelphia +14.0 

Golden State lead the league in scoring at 119.1 ppg, but rank a lowly 22nd on defense at 107.8. Despite their defensive woes they have an almost 12-point differential that is by far the best in the league.

Spreads a bit large for us, like the 76ers to cover.

LA Lakers @ Milwaukee

H2h Trends –

  • LA Lakers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LA Lakers 5 7 4-3 1-4
Milwaukee 5 6 2-3 3-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
LA Lakers 104.7 107.6 -2.9
Milwaukee 104.4 106.7 -2.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Milwaukee  Under  Milwaukee
 -5.0  214.0  98-90

Best Bet  = Milwaukee H2H 

The Bucks H2H here is going straight into the parlay. Like the Unders also, especially if Lonzo is jacking up some horrid shots.

Chicago @ San Antonio

H2h Trends –

  • Chicago are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Chicago 2 8 1-4 1-4
San Antonio 7 5 5-2 2-3

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Chicago 93.6 101.0 -7.4
San Antonio 100.5 100.1 +0.4

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 San Antonio  Over  San Antonio
 -11.5  194.0  133-94

Best Bet  = NOPE

No player on the Bulls roster is putting up more than 16 ppg and it’s fair to say they are the mayor of Struggletown in the NBA.

Spurs should win and cover here in a slog. Overs if you’re a sicko.

Orlando @ Denver

H2h Trends –

  • Memphis are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Orlando 8 4 4-2 4-2
Denver 7 5 5-2 2-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Orlando 110.8 106.2 +4.7
Denver 106.2 105.1 +1.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Denver  Under  Denver
 -8.0  222.0  125-107

Best Bet  = Denver H2H 

The Nuggets have been tough to gauge from a betting standpoint. The Under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 overall and we are expecting Unders and a Denver win at the line.

Orlando is on their 2nd game in as many nights against a young rested Nuggets. That thin air of Denver won’t help them.

Minnesota @ Phoenix

H2h Trends –

  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Minnesota are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Minnesota 7 4 4-1 3-3
Phoenix 4 9 2-5 2-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Minnesota 108.6 111.2 -2.5
Phoenix 106.2 116.7 -10.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Minnesota  Under  Phoenix
 -9.0  227.0  118-110

Best Bet  = Under 227.0 

Minnesota have won 4 of their past 5 and they’ll come in here trying to make a statement. Staying clear of this one. Like the Unders though.

Brooklyn @ Utah

H2h Trends –

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Brooklyn 5 7 3-2 2-5
Utah 5 7 5-3 0-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Brooklyn 111.0 114.6 -3.60
Utah 97.0 99.1 -2.10

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Brooklyn  Under  Utah
 +9.5  210.0  114-106

Best Bet  = Under 210.0  

Brooklyn comes into this game on the second night of a back to back but that -9.5 line is a bit much, especially for a Utah team that without elite offense.

Unders best.