2016 AFL Grand Final Predictions

September 30, 2016

AFL Grand Final Predictions

Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs

Saturday, September 1st October, MCG

Win Loss Position Ladder
17 5 1 1


Win Loss Position Ladder
15 7 7 7


2016 Season Points +/-

Swans 101.0 66.8 +34.2
Bulldogs 84.4 73.1 +11.3

Last 5 Matchups

R15, 2016, Bulldogs 13.5 (83) d Swans 11.13 (79) at the SCG
R5, 2015, Bulldogs 11.11 (77) d Swans 10.13 (73) at the SCG
R22, 2014, Swans 20.10 (130) d Bulldogs 9.13 (67) at Etihad Stadium
R19, 2013, Swans 21.8 (134) d Bulldogs 15.9 (99) at Etihad Stadium
R21, 2012, Swans 26.11 (167) d Bulldogs 13.7 (85) at Etihad Stadium

The Say – James McLure

The wallet and the heart lie in different postcodes with this one.

On the one hand, a hefty bet was placed on the Swannies earlier this season from this tipster, and coming into the last day of the 2016 AFL season, I was hoping that it would be anybody other than the Bulldogs that would challenge my early season bet.

…Now the heart may takeover.

After a finals record even worse than my beloved Saints, I can’t help but align myself with a fairytale story, and the chance at seeing history made before my eyes.

The last time the Doggies held the hardware was back in 1954, where Teddy Whitten and Charlie Sutton felt it’s cool touch after the Bulldogs beat Melbourne 102-51 in front of 80,897 at the MCG.

The Swans come into this as firm favourites at $1.58, and the Bulldogs will have no problem stepping over the white line with the underdog tag.

The Swans have been the premier defensive side this year, conceding just 68 ppg, although the Bulldogs aren’t far behind with 73 ppg.

This one will be close, and although the heart lies with the boys from the west, I just can’t see the professional machine of the Swans succumbing to their 2016 Premiership destiny. 

Swans by 25 points.

Picks against the spread

Spread Spr/Pick O/U Points O/U Pick Result
249px-Sydney_Swans_Logo.svg 249px-Sydney_Swans_Logo.svg afl_goalposts-128 yikMpeBiE West_bulldogs_logo14
 -8.5  -8.5 165.5  165.5 89-67

Safe Bet: Sydney H2H @ $1.58

Feeling Lucky: Sydney 1-39 @ $2.10

The Midfield Haymaker: Josh Kennedy Norm Smith @ $8.50

The Say – Marcus Thompson

This is the first game since the Sydney v West Coast clashes where I have no real vested interest in one team more than another. Both teams on Saturday deserve to be there and we are all thanking our lucky stars that it wasn’t a fifth year in a row for the Hawks to be playing in the last game.

However, it will be the fourth year in five where we will be watching Buddy Franklin do his thing. Currently with a 2-2 record in Grand Finals, we are sensing he and his hardened team mates would be wanting some revenge from their 2014 shortcomings.

The Dogs have almost played in 3 Grand Finals already this series and have won all of them in a different fashion, which suggest to us that mastermind Beveridge will have something new for us and Sydney. The Dogs have the wood over the Swans in recent games but on the ‘G’ will be a different environment for both teams.

The Dogs are the ‘Cinderella’ story for 2016 and even after all those tough games, we still aren’t confident to tip against them.

Some are suggesting the Swans to take over after half time but the tactics Beveridge will have up his sleeve tells us it may be closer.

Swans by 15 points.

Picks against the spread

Spread Spr/Pick O/U Points O/U Pick Result
249px-Sydney_Swans_Logo.svg 249px-Sydney_Swans_Logo.svg afl_goalposts-128 2000px-PES-Red-Arrow.svg West_bulldogs_logo14
 -8.5  -8.5 165.5  165.5  89-67

Safe Bet: Swans H2H @ $1.58

Feeling Lucky: Swans 1-39 @ $2.10

The Midfield Haymaker: Tom Mitchell Norm Smith @ $18.00

The Say – Steven Paice

The Bulldogs have famously broken a 61 year Grand Final drought by winning their way to the last game of the season from seventh place on the ladder.

However, they have unfinished business despite one of the more impressive finals campaigns in recent memory, having beaten the Eagles and Giants interstate and the three-time reigning premier Hawks in-between.  They enter this game flying and at near full strength with Matt Suckling and Lin Jong unable to force their way into the preliminary winning side for the biggest game of their lives.  The Dogs run deep in the midfield and have dominated possession all season and have shown a willingness to go on and on.  They fell four goals behind to the Hawks and almost three goals behind to the Giants, but their self-belief never wavered.  While their forward line has been a concern all season, they have averaged over 90 points a game in their three finals and have found a solution to that problem.

The Swans are back for the third time in five years, and the minor premiers Sydney have rebounded from a poor qualifying finals showing to record consecutive and dominant wins against Adelaide and Geelong.

In both games they started quickly and finished the game before the opposition had a chance to blink.  Their biggest strength lies in their midfield depth, one of the best defenses in the AFL, and Lance Franklin.

Buddy poses a huge threat to Bulldogs youngster Joel Hamling, who put Jeremy Cameron and his misplaced arrogance back in its place last weekend as he toweled up the precocious Giants forward.  A repeat of that performance would see the Dogs dream become a reality, and recent history says the Dogs have every chance of winning.  They have won their last two games against the Swans at the fortress that is the SCG, and while Sydney are deserved favourites the ‘Sons Of The West’ will become the feelgood story of the last AFL decade, with an unlikely and universally popular premiership win.

Bulldogs by 11 points.

Picks against the spread

Spread Spr/Pick O/U Points O/U Pick Result
249px-Sydney_Swans_Logo.svg West_bulldogs_logo14 afl_goalposts-128 yikMpeBiE West_bulldogs_logo14
 -8.5  +8.5 165.5  165.5  89-67

Safe Bet: Bulldogs +20.5 @ $1.53

Feeling Lucky: Bulldogs H2H @ $2.45

The Midfield Haymaker: Liam Picken Norm Smith @ $23.00

No more heartbreak for the Doggies…


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